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Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons

Caerphilly Athletic host Baglan Dragons in the Wales Cymru Championship South on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes Baglan Dragons favourites at 46%, with a 24% chance of a draw.

Wales Cymru Championship South Save
Caerphilly Athletic
19:45
27 Nov
Baglan Dragons

Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons preview

Caerphilly Athletic have scored 1.33 goals a game and conceded 1.50 across their last 6 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Baglan Dragons have scored 1.00 and conceded 0.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Caerphilly Athletic's last 6 home games and 2 of Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 5 of Caerphilly Athletic's last 6 home games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 1 of Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games. Caerphilly Athletic's last 6 home games have averaged 8.8 corners and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games 5.6. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:47 UK.

  • Goals scored Caerphilly Athletic: 1.33 Baglan Dragons: 1.00
  • Goals conceded Caerphilly Athletic: 1.50 Baglan Dragons: 0.60
  • Both teams scored Caerphilly Athletic: 4 of 667% Baglan Dragons: 2 of 540%
  • Over 2.5 goals Caerphilly Athletic: 4 of 667% Baglan Dragons: 2 of 540%
  • Match corners Caerphilly Athletic: 8.83 Baglan Dragons: 5.60
  • Match cards Caerphilly Athletic: 4.50 Baglan Dragons: 2.80

Caerphilly Athletic's last 6 home games and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season.

Win probabilities

30%Caerphilly Athletic 24%Draw 46%Baglan Dragons

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons: questions and answers

When is Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons?

Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 27 November 2026 in the Cymru Championship South.

Who is the favourite in Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Caerphilly Athletic a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baglan Dragons 46%.

How many goals do Caerphilly Athletic and Baglan Dragons games have?

Caerphilly Athletic have scored 1.33 goals a game and conceded 1.50 across their last 6 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Baglan Dragons have scored 1.00 and conceded 0.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Caerphilly Athletic's last 6 home games and 2 of Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games.

Where are Caerphilly Athletic and Baglan Dragons in the Cymru Championship South table?

Caerphilly Athletic are 12th with 14 points from 13 games. Baglan Dragons are 6th with 20 points from 13 games.

Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons stats

All competitions , Pro
Caerphilly Athletic2W 1D 3L · 6 home games
Baglan Dragons3W 1D 1L · 5 away games
Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons general stats: Caerphilly Athletic's last 6 home games and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season
Caerphilly AthleticStatBaglan Dragons
Match outcomes
2 of 633% Win 3 of 560%
1 of 617% Draw 1 of 520%
3 of 650% Loss 1 of 520%
7 Points 10
1.17 Points per game 2.00
-1 Goal difference 2
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
8.00 xG performance 5.00
Possession & attacks
48% Possession 46%
38.33 Dangerous attacks 29.00
41.00 Dangerous attacks against 21.80
Shots
3.33 Shots for 5.60
2.33 Shots against 3.60
2.00 On target for 2.60
1.67 On target against 2.00
40% Shot conversion 18%
60% On-target accuracy 46%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
4.17 Fouls committed 1.60
2.67 Fouls won 1.80
0.50 Offsides 0.80

Caerphilly Athletic's last 6 home games and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:47 UK.

Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons form

Baglan Dragons All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Welsh Cup H Barry Town United 1–1 draw Pens
  2. Cymru Championship South H Ynyshir Albions 2–1 win
  3. Cymru Championship South H Treowen Stars 0–1 defeat
  4. Welsh Cup A Llantwit Fardre 3–1 win
  5. Cymru Championship South H Pontypridd Town AFC 1–1 draw

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Baglan Dragons vs Caerphilly Athletic head to head

0 Baglan Dragons wins 0 draws 1 Caerphilly Athletic wins
1.0 goals per game 0% both teams scored 0% over 2.5 goals
  1. 27 Nov 2026Cymru Championship South Caerphilly Athletic 19:45 Baglan Dragons
  2. 31 Aug 2026Cymru Championship South Baglan Dragons 0–1 Caerphilly Athletic

Caerphilly Athletic vs Baglan Dragons standings

Cymru Championship South table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Pontypridd Town AFC 138323522 +13 27
2 Aberystwyth Town 118122810 +18 25
3 Swansea University 127323618 +18 24
4 Caerau (Ely) 137152423 +1 22
5 Treowen Stars 136252525 0 20
6 Baglan Dragons 136251414 0 20
7 Ynyshir Albions 115422013 +7 19
8 Afan Lido 145362426 -2 18
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 134542623 +3 17
10 Carmarthen Town 134362430 -6 15
11 Pontardawe Town 114252021 -1 14
12 Caerphilly Athletic 134271724 -7 14
13 Newport City 113442117 +4 13
14 Cardiff Draconians 113351419 -5 12
15 Llantwit Major 123361426 -12 12
16 Llanelli Town 1403111243 -31 3
  • Caerphilly Athletic
  • Baglan Dragons
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Relegation

Cymru Championship South 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:47 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

30%Caerphilly Athletic 24%Draw 46%Baglan Dragons
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.