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Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons

Pontypridd Town AFC host Baglan Dragons in the Wales Cymru Championship South on Friday 4 December 2026, kick-off 19:30. Our model makes Pontypridd Town AFC favourites at 52%, with a 22% chance of a draw. In their last 5 meetings, Baglan Dragons won 1, Pontypridd Town AFC won 2 and 2 were drawn.

Wales Cymru Championship South Save
Pontypridd Town AFC
19:30
4 Dec
Baglan Dragons
Ynysangharad Park, England

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons preview

Pontypridd Town AFC have scored 2.33 goals a game and conceded 1.33 across their last 6 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Baglan Dragons have scored 1.00 and conceded 0.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games and 2 of Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 1 of Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games. Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games have averaged 11.3 corners and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games 5.6. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 13:22 UK.

  • Goals scored Pontypridd Town AFC: 2.33 Baglan Dragons: 1.00
  • Goals conceded Pontypridd Town AFC: 1.33 Baglan Dragons: 0.60
  • Both teams scored Pontypridd Town AFC: 4 of 667% Baglan Dragons: 2 of 540%
  • Over 2.5 goals Pontypridd Town AFC: 5 of 683% Baglan Dragons: 2 of 540%
  • Match corners Pontypridd Town AFC: 11.33 Baglan Dragons: 5.60
  • Match cards Pontypridd Town AFC: 2.83 Baglan Dragons: 2.80

Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season.

Win probabilities

52%Pontypridd Town AFC 22%Draw 26%Baglan Dragons

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons: questions and answers

When is Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons?

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Friday 4 December 2026 in the Cymru Championship South, at Ynysangharad Park, England.

Who is the favourite in Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Pontypridd Town AFC a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baglan Dragons 26%.

How many goals do Pontypridd Town AFC and Baglan Dragons games have?

Pontypridd Town AFC have scored 2.33 goals a game and conceded 1.33 across their last 6 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Baglan Dragons have scored 1.00 and conceded 0.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games and 2 of Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games.

Where are Pontypridd Town AFC and Baglan Dragons in the Cymru Championship South table?

Pontypridd Town AFC are 1st with 27 points from 13 games. Baglan Dragons are 6th with 20 points from 13 games.

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons stats

All competitions , Pro
Pontypridd Town AFC4W 0D 2L · 6 home games
Baglan Dragons3W 1D 1L · 5 away games
Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons general stats: Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season
Pontypridd Town AFCStatBaglan Dragons
Match outcomes
4 of 667% Win 3 of 560%
0 of 60% Draw 1 of 520%
2 of 633% Loss 1 of 520%
12 Points 10
2.00 Points per game 2.00
6 Goal difference 2
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
14.00 xG performance 5.00
Possession & attacks
58% Possession 46%
63.00 Dangerous attacks 29.00
39.67 Dangerous attacks against 21.80
Shots
12.33 Shots for 5.60
9.50 Shots against 3.60
5.00 On target for 2.60
3.50 On target against 2.00
19% Shot conversion 18%
41% On-target accuracy 46%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
8.00 Fouls committed 1.60
5.67 Fouls won 1.80
2.50 Offsides 0.80

Pontypridd Town AFC's last 6 home games and Baglan Dragons' last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 13:22 UK.

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons form

Pontypridd Town AFC All venues
3 W · 2 D · 0 L
Points per game
2.20
Scored per game
3.2
Conceded per game
1.4
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Cymru Championship South A Caerau (Ely) 3–1 win
  2. Cymru Championship South H Llanelli Town 4–0 win
  3. Cymru Championship South A Newport City 4–4 draw
  4. Cymru Championship South A Baglan Dragons 1–1 draw
  5. Cymru Championship South H Llantwit Major 4–1 win
Baglan Dragons All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Welsh Cup H Barry Town United 1–1 draw Pens
  2. Cymru Championship South H Ynyshir Albions 2–1 win
  3. Cymru Championship South H Treowen Stars 0–1 defeat
  4. Welsh Cup A Llantwit Fardre 3–1 win
  5. Cymru Championship South H Pontypridd Town AFC 1–1 draw

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town AFC head to head

1 Baglan Dragons wins 2 draws 2 Pontypridd Town AFC wins
2.4 goals per game 40% both teams scored 40% over 2.5 goals
  1. 4 Dec 2026Cymru Championship South Pontypridd Town AFC 19:30 Baglan Dragons
  2. 10 Oct 2026Cymru Championship South Baglan Dragons 1–1 Pontypridd Town AFC
  3. 21 Feb 2026Cymru Championship South Pontypridd Town AFC 2–0 Baglan Dragons
  4. 27 Jul 2025Cymru Championship South Baglan Dragons 3–0 Pontypridd Town AFC
  5. 17 Jan 2025Cymru Championship - North Pontypridd Town AFC 1–0 Baglan Dragons
  6. 26 Oct 2024Cymru Championship - North Baglan Dragons 2–2 Pontypridd Town AFC

Pontypridd Town AFC vs Baglan Dragons standings

Cymru Championship South table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Pontypridd Town AFC 138323522 +13 27
2 Aberystwyth Town 118122810 +18 25
3 Swansea University 127323618 +18 24
4 Caerau (Ely) 137152423 +1 22
5 Treowen Stars 136252525 0 20
6 Baglan Dragons 136251414 0 20
7 Ynyshir Albions 115422013 +7 19
8 Afan Lido 145362426 -2 18
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 134542623 +3 17
10 Carmarthen Town 134362430 -6 15
11 Pontardawe Town 114252021 -1 14
12 Caerphilly Athletic 134271724 -7 14
13 Newport City 113442117 +4 13
14 Cardiff Draconians 113351419 -5 12
15 Llantwit Major 123361426 -12 12
16 Llanelli Town 1403111243 -31 3
  • Pontypridd Town AFC
  • Baglan Dragons
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Relegation

Cymru Championship South 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 13:22 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

52%Pontypridd Town AFC 22%Draw 26%Baglan Dragons
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.