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Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town

Caerau (Ely) host Carmarthen Town in the Wales Cymru Championship South on Friday 4 December 2026, kick-off 19:30. Our model makes Caerau (Ely) favourites at 56%, with a 21% chance of a draw. In their last 7 meetings, Caerau (Ely) won 0, Carmarthen Town won 4 and 3 were drawn.

Wales Cymru Championship South Save
Caerau (Ely)
19:30
4 Dec
Carmarthen Town
Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town preview

Caerau (Ely) have scored 1.57 goals a game and conceded 1.86 across their last 7 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Carmarthen Town have scored 1.80 and conceded 1.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Caerau (Ely)'s last 7 home games and each of Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games. Carmarthen Town have scored first in each of their last 5 away games. Caerau (Ely)'s last 7 home games have averaged 7.3 corners and Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games 6.4. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 12:25 UK.

  • Goals scored Caerau (Ely): 1.57 Carmarthen Town: 1.80
  • Goals conceded Caerau (Ely): 1.86 Carmarthen Town: 1.60
  • Both teams scored Caerau (Ely): 4 of 757% Carmarthen Town: 5 of 5100%
  • Over 2.5 goals Caerau (Ely): 4 of 757% Carmarthen Town: 5 of 5100%
  • Match corners Caerau (Ely): 7.29 Carmarthen Town: 6.40
  • Match cards Caerau (Ely): 2.71 Carmarthen Town: 2.40

Caerau (Ely)'s last 7 home games and Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season.

Win probabilities

56%Caerau (Ely) 21%Draw 23%Carmarthen Town

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town: questions and answers

When is Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Friday 4 December 2026 in the Cymru Championship South, at Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd.

Who is the favourite in Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Caerau (Ely) a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Carmarthen Town 23%.

How many goals do Caerau (Ely) and Carmarthen Town games have?

Caerau (Ely) have scored 1.57 goals a game and conceded 1.86 across their last 7 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Carmarthen Town have scored 1.80 and conceded 1.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Caerau (Ely)'s last 7 home games and each of Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games.

Where are Caerau (Ely) and Carmarthen Town in the Cymru Championship South table?

Caerau (Ely) are 4th with 22 points from 13 games. Carmarthen Town are 10th with 15 points from 13 games.

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town stats

All competitions , Pro
Caerau (Ely)3W 1D 3L · 7 home games
Carmarthen Town2W 2D 1L · 5 away games
Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town general stats: Caerau (Ely)'s last 7 home games and Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season
Caerau (Ely)StatCarmarthen Town
Match outcomes
3 of 743% Win 2 of 540%
1 of 714% Draw 2 of 540%
3 of 743% Loss 1 of 520%
10 Points 8
1.43 Points per game 1.60
-2 Goal difference 1
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
11.00 xG performance 9.00
Possession & attacks
41% Possession 37%
44.57 Dangerous attacks 34.80
30.71 Dangerous attacks against 42.80
Shots
7.71 Shots for 5.40
6.43 Shots against 6.40
4.14 On target for 2.40
2.43 On target against 3.00
20% Shot conversion 33%
54% On-target accuracy 44%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
2.71 Fouls committed 6.20
2.00 Fouls won 4.40
1.29 Offsides 0.60

Caerau (Ely)'s last 7 home games and Carmarthen Town's last 5 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 12:25 UK.

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town form

Caerau (Ely) All venues
3 W · 0 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.80
Scored per game
1.8
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
20%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Welsh Cup H Brickfield Rangers 1–0 win
  2. Cymru Championship South H Pontypridd Town AFC 1–3 defeat
  3. Cymru Championship South A Caerphilly Athletic 1–0 win
  4. Cymru Championship South H Llantwit Major 0–2 defeat
  5. Welsh Cup H Llanelli Town 6–0 win
Carmarthen Town All venues
0 W · 1 D · 4 L
Points per game
0.20
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
3.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
  1. Cymru Championship South H Aberystwyth Town 0–4 defeat
  2. Cymru Championship South A Pontardawe Town 1–2 defeat
  3. Cymru Championship South H Caerphilly Athletic 1–3 defeat
  4. Welsh Cup H Newport City 4–5 defeat
  5. Cymru Championship South A Cardiff Draconians 2–2 draw

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town head to head

0 Caerau (Ely) wins 3 draws 4 Carmarthen Town wins
4.3 goals per game 86% both teams scored 57% over 2.5 goals
  1. 4 Dec 2026Cymru Championship South Caerau (Ely) 19:30 Carmarthen Town
  2. 1 Aug 2026Cymru Championship South Carmarthen Town 4–3 Caerau (Ely)
  3. 21 Feb 2026Cymru Championship South Caerau (Ely) 3–4 Carmarthen Town
  4. 28 Nov 2025Cymru Championship South Carmarthen Town 1–1 Caerau (Ely)
  5. 25 Jan 2025Cymru Championship - North Carmarthen Town 2–0 Caerau (Ely)
  6. 6 Aug 2024Cymru Championship - North Caerau (Ely) 2–2 Carmarthen Town
  7. 10 Feb 2024Cymru Championship - North Carmarthen Town 1–1 Caerau (Ely)
  8. 22 Sep 2023Cymru Championship - North Caerau (Ely) 2–4 Carmarthen Town

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town standings

Cymru Championship South table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Pontypridd Town AFC 138323522 +13 27
2 Aberystwyth Town 118122810 +18 25
3 Swansea University 127323618 +18 24
4 Caerau (Ely) 137152423 +1 22
5 Treowen Stars 136252525 0 20
6 Baglan Dragons 136251414 0 20
7 Ynyshir Albions 115422013 +7 19
8 Afan Lido 145362426 -2 18
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 134542623 +3 17
10 Carmarthen Town 134362430 -6 15
11 Pontardawe Town 114252021 -1 14
12 Caerphilly Athletic 134271724 -7 14
13 Newport City 113442117 +4 13
14 Cardiff Draconians 113351419 -5 12
15 Llantwit Major 123361426 -12 12
16 Llanelli Town 1403111243 -31 3
  • Caerau (Ely)
  • Carmarthen Town
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Relegation

Cymru Championship South 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 13:09 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

56%Caerau (Ely) 21%Draw 23%Carmarthen Town
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.