Brazil Serie A Sun 11 Oct 2026, 23:30 Save

Bahia

23:30

11 Oct

Mirassol

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador 206

Bahia vs Mirassol

Bahia host Mirassol in the Brazil Serie A on Sunday 11 October 2026, kick-off 23:30. Our model makes Bahia favourites at 61%, with a 24% chance of a draw. In their last 3 meetings, Bahia won 1, Mirassol won 1 and 1 was drawn.

Form

Bahia L L W W W

Mirassol D W D W L

BahiaMirassol

60% Win rate 40%

1.80 Goals scored 1.40

1.60 Goals conceded 1.20

80% Both teams score 60%

80% Over 2.5 goals 40%

0% Clean sheets 20%

20% Scored first 20%

1.89 xG for 1.36

1.67 xG against 1.81

11.20 Match corners 13.20

From 5 and 5 matches.

Bahia at home and Mirassol away this season.

43% Win rate 14%

1.57 Goals scored 0.93

1.00 Goals conceded 1.57

71% Both teams score 64%

50% Over 2.5 goals 43%

29% Clean sheets 0%

36% Scored first 21%

1.48 xG for 1.14

0.92 xG against 1.68

10.71 Match corners 11.14

From 14 and 14 matches.

Bahia vs Mirassol head to head

1 Bahia wins 1 draws 1 Mirassol wins

3.7 goals per game 100% both teams scored 67% over 2.5 goals

Prediction

61%Bahia 24%Draw 16%Mirassol

Both teams to score46%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

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Bahia vs Mirassol

Form

Bahia vs Mirassol head to head