We simulated Bahia vs Mirassol 100,000 times. Bahia won 62,723 of them (62.7%), the draw came up 22.1% of the time and Mirassol won 15.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.8%), and both teams score in 52.3% of simulations.
| Bahia win | 62.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.1% |
| Mirassol win | 15.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.05 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.4% |
| Bahia score first | 63.9% |
| Mirassol score first | 30% |
| Bahia clean sheet | 40.7% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 13.3% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493583 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bahia are favourites. They win 62.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.1% for the draw and 15.1% for Mirassol. Including the draw, Bahia avoid defeat 84.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (10.4%) and 1-0 (9.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations. Bahia keep a clean sheet 40.7% of the time and Mirassol 13.3%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 2.05 for Bahia and 0.91 for Mirassol. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.5% and over 3.5 goals 34.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
