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Bermuda
St. Lucia
Bermuda's last 8 home games and St. Lucia's last 3 away games in all competitions.
From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market
Bermuda vs St. Lucia kicks off at 19:00 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026 in the CONCACAF Nations League, at Stade Roger Zami.
The OddAlerts probability model gives Bermuda a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Lucia 48%.
Bermuda are 4th in League B Group B with 0 points from 4 games. St. Lucia are 2nd in League B Group B with 9 points from 4 games.
Bermuda2W 0D 6L · 8 home games
St. Lucia1W 0D 2L · 3 away games
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 2 of 825% | Win | 1 of 333% |
| 0 of 80% | Draw | 0 of 30% |
| 6 of 875% | Loss | 2 of 367% |
| 6 | Points | 3 |
| 0.75 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| -12 | Goal difference | -5 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.16 | xG per game | 0.00 |
| 0.65 | xGA per game | 0.00 |
| 10.72 | xG performance | 1.00 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 44% | Possession | 41% |
| 42.25 | Dangerous attacks | 47.33 |
| 50.63 | Dangerous attacks against | 53.33 |
| Shots | ||
| 7.25 | Shots for | 9.33 |
| 14.25 | Shots against | 17.67 |
| 2.88 | On target for | 2.00 |
| 6.63 | On target against | 4.67 |
| 21% | Shot conversion | 4% |
| 40% | On-target accuracy | 21% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 11.75 | Tackles | 13.67 |
| 11.75 | Fouls committed | 13.33 |
| 10.63 | Fouls won | 13.67 |
| 1.00 | Offsides | 1.67 |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 4.50 | Goals per game (total) | 2.33 |
| 12 | Goals scored | 1 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game | 0.33 |
| 24 | Goals conceded | 6 |
| 3.00 | Conceded per game | 2.00 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 5 of 863% | Scored first | 1 of 333% |
| 3 of 838% | Failed to score | 2 of 367% |
| 1 of 813% | Clean sheet | 1 of 333% |
| 4 of 850% | BTTS | 0 of 30% |
| 4 of 850% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 0 of 30% |
| 8 of 8100% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 1 of 333% |
| Total goals | ||
| 8 of 8100% | Over 0.5 | 3 of 3100% |
| 8 of 8100% | Over 1.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 8 of 8100% | Over 2.5 | 1 of 333% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 3.5 | 1 of 333% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 5 of 863% | Scored 1+ | 1 of 333% |
| 3 of 838% | Scored 2+ | 0 of 30% |
| 2 of 825% | Scored 3+ | 0 of 30% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 7 of 888% | Conceded 1+ | 2 of 367% |
| 6 of 875% | Conceded 2+ | 2 of 367% |
| 4 of 850% | Conceded 3+ | 1 of 333% |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 4 of 850% | Winning at HT | 1 of 333% |
| 1 of 813% | Drawing at HT | 0 of 30% |
| 3 of 838% | Losing at HT | 2 of 367% |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 7.00 | Total corners | 8.67 |
| 3.25 | Corners for | 3.67 |
| 3.75 | Corners against | 5.00 |
| 2 of 825% | Most corners | 1 of 333% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 4 of 850% | Over 7.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 8.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 4 of 850% | Over 9.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 2 of 825% | Over 10.5 | 0 of 30% |
| 0 of 80% | Over 11.5 | 0 of 30% |
| 0 of 80% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 30% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 1 of 813% | For over 4.5 | 1 of 333% |
| 1 of 813% | For over 5.5 | 0 of 30% |
| 1 of 813% | For over 6.5 | 0 of 30% |
| 1 of 813% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 30% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 4 of 850% | Against over 4.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 3 of 838% | Against over 5.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 3 of 838% | Against over 6.5 | 1 of 333% |
| By half | ||
| 1.88 | 1H total | 2.33 |
| 1.38 | 1H for | 1.00 |
| 0.50 | 1H against | 1.33 |
| 2.13 | 2H total | 3.00 |
| 0.75 | 2H for | 2.00 |
| 1.38 | 2H against | 1.00 |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.13 | Total cards | 4.33 |
| 1.75 | Cards received | 1.67 |
| 1.38 | Opponent cards | 2.67 |
| 3 of 838% | Most cards | 0 of 30% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 4 of 850% | Over 2.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 3 of 838% | Over 3.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 3 of 838% | Over 4.5 | 2 of 367% |
| 2 of 825% | Over 5.5 | 1 of 333% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 5 of 863% | Received 1+ | 2 of 367% |
| 3 of 838% | Received 2+ | 2 of 367% |
| 3 of 838% | Received 3+ | 1 of 333% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 7 of 888% | Opponent 1+ | 3 of 3100% |
| 4 of 850% | Opponent 2+ | 2 of 367% |
| 0 of 80% | Opponent 3+ | 2 of 367% |
| By half | ||
| 1.50 | 1H total | 0.67 |
| 0.75 | 1H received | 0.67 |
| 2.50 | 2H total | 3.33 |
| 1.75 | 2H received | 1.00 |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 21.50 | Total shots (match) | 27.00 |
| 9.50 | Total on target (match) | 6.67 |
| 52% | On-target conversion | 17% |
Bermuda's last 8 home games and St. Lucia's last 3 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Bermuda0W 1D 9L · 10 games
St. Lucia4W 0D 3L · 7 games
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Match outcomes | ||
| 0 of 100% | Win | 4 of 757% |
| 1 of 1010% | Draw | 0 of 70% |
| 9 of 1090% | Loss | 3 of 743% |
| 1 | Points | 12 |
| 0.10 | Points per game | 1.71 |
| -27 | Goal difference | -2 |
| Expected goals | ||
| 0.26 | xG per game | 0.08 |
| 1.05 | xGA per game | 0.22 |
| 6.35 | xG performance | 10.44 |
| Possession & attacks | ||
| 38% | Possession | 45% |
| 45.50 | Dangerous attacks | 48.86 |
| 64.70 | Dangerous attacks against | 56.00 |
| Shots | ||
| 9.60 | Shots for | 11.29 |
| 20.50 | Shots against | 15.71 |
| 4.10 | On target for | 4.00 |
| 9.20 | On target against | 5.29 |
| 9% | Shot conversion | 14% |
| 43% | On-target accuracy | 35% |
| Tackles & fouls | ||
| 12.00 | Tackles | 13.86 |
| 11.80 | Fouls committed | 12.57 |
| 11.40 | Fouls won | 13.43 |
| 0.90 | Offsides | 2.29 |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals overview | ||
| 4.50 | Goals per game (total) | 3.43 |
| 9 | Goals scored | 11 |
| 0.90 | Scored per game | 1.57 |
| 36 | Goals conceded | 13 |
| 3.60 | Conceded per game | 1.86 |
| Outcomes | ||
| 3 of 1030% | Scored first | 3 of 743% |
| 4 of 1040% | Failed to score | 3 of 743% |
| 0 of 100% | Clean sheet | 2 of 729% |
| 6 of 1060% | BTTS | 2 of 729% |
| 6 of 1060% | BTTS & over 2.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 10 of 10100% | BTTS or over 2.5 | 5 of 771% |
| Total goals | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Over 0.5 | 7 of 7100% |
| 10 of 10100% | Over 1.5 | 6 of 786% |
| 10 of 10100% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 3.5 | 3 of 743% |
| Goals scored | ||
| 6 of 1060% | Scored 1+ | 4 of 757% |
| 3 of 1030% | Scored 2+ | 3 of 743% |
| 0 of 100% | Scored 3+ | 2 of 729% |
| Goals conceded | ||
| 10 of 10100% | Conceded 1+ | 5 of 771% |
| 10 of 10100% | Conceded 2+ | 4 of 757% |
| 7 of 1070% | Conceded 3+ | 2 of 729% |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Half-time result | ||
| 1 of 1010% | Winning at HT | 3 of 743% |
| 2 of 1020% | Drawing at HT | 2 of 729% |
| 7 of 1070% | Losing at HT | 2 of 729% |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners per game | ||
| 10.60 | Total corners | 9.43 |
| 3.30 | Corners for | 3.71 |
| 7.30 | Corners against | 5.71 |
| 1 of 1010% | Most corners | 2 of 729% |
| Match corner lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Over 7.5 | 6 of 786% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 8.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 7 of 1070% | Over 9.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 5 of 1050% | Over 10.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 11.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 12.5 | 0 of 70% |
| Corners for lines | ||
| 1 of 1010% | For over 4.5 | 2 of 729% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 5.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 6.5 | 1 of 714% |
| 1 of 1010% | For over 7.5 | 0 of 70% |
| Corners against lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Against over 4.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 6 of 1060% | Against over 5.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 6 of 1060% | Against over 6.5 | 3 of 743% |
| By half | ||
| 1.70 | 1H total | 3.86 |
| 0.90 | 1H for | 1.29 |
| 0.80 | 1H against | 2.57 |
| 2.30 | 2H total | 2.86 |
| 0.90 | 2H for | 1.14 |
| 1.40 | 2H against | 1.71 |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Cards per game | ||
| 3.40 | Total cards | 4.14 |
| 2.10 | Cards received | 1.57 |
| 1.30 | Opponent cards | 2.57 |
| 5 of 1050% | Most cards | 1 of 714% |
| Match card lines | ||
| 7 of 1070% | Over 2.5 | 5 of 771% |
| 4 of 1040% | Over 3.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 3 of 1030% | Over 4.5 | 4 of 757% |
| 2 of 1020% | Over 5.5 | 2 of 729% |
| Cards received lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Received 1+ | 5 of 771% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 2+ | 5 of 771% |
| 5 of 1050% | Received 3+ | 1 of 714% |
| Opponent card lines | ||
| 8 of 1080% | Opponent 1+ | 7 of 7100% |
| 5 of 1050% | Opponent 2+ | 5 of 771% |
| 0 of 100% | Opponent 3+ | 4 of 757% |
| By half | ||
| 1.60 | 1H total | 1.00 |
| 0.80 | 1H received | 0.57 |
| 2.20 | 2H total | 2.86 |
| 1.70 | 2H received | 0.86 |
| Bermuda | Stat | St. Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Shots & conversion | ||
| 30.10 | Total shots (match) | 27.00 |
| 13.30 | Total on target (match) | 9.29 |
| 22% | On-target conversion | 39% |
Bermuda's last 10 games and St. Lucia's last 7 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.
Stats as of 12 Nov 2026, 22:28 UK.
Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.
BermudaSt. LuciaForm rating weights recent games most. Percentages compare each player with others in his role. For national teams, form comes from club games and scorers count internationals over the last 18 months.
Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.
CONCACAF Nations League matches only, before kick-off: 4 each.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barbados |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | |
| 2 | St. Lucia |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 | |
| 3 |  Guadeloupe |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | Bermuda |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 0 |
CONCACAF Nations League 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 00:17 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.
Best price across 8 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bermuda | 11.701xBet | Drifted 255%from 3.30 | 31% |
| Draw | 8.201xBet | Drifted 96%from 4.19 | 21% |
| St. Lucia | 1.28Kambi Group | Shortened 25%from 1.70 | 48% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bermuda or Draw | 3.80WilliamHill | Drifted 73%from 2.20 | 52% |
| Draw or St. Lucia | 1.08Bet365 | No changefrom 1.08 | 69% |
| Bermuda or St. Lucia | 1.16Bet365 | No changefrom 1.16 | 79% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bermuda | 9.00Bet365 | Drifted 39%from 6.50 | 39% |
| St. Lucia | 1.07Bet365 | Shortened 4%from 1.11 | 61% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 1.63Betfair Exchange | Drifted 3%from 1.58 | 57% |
| BTTS No | 2.46FanDuel | Drifted 2%from 2.42 | 43% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.10Betfair Exchange | No changefrom 1.10 | 81% |
| Under 1.5 | 10.00Betfair Exchange | Drifted 16%from 8.60 | 19% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.28Bet365 | Shortened 9%from 1.40 | 61% |
| Under 2.5 | 4.10FanDuel | Drifted 21%from 3.40 | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.71Kambi Group | Shortened 13%from 1.96 | 38% |
| Under 3.5 | 2.30FanDuel | Drifted 19%from 1.94 | 62% |
| Selection | Best price | Since opening | Model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bermuda | 8.00Bet365 | Drifted 23%from 6.50 | – |
| Draw | 3.20Bet365 | Drifted 7%from 3.00 | – |
| St. Lucia | 1.62WilliamHill | Shortened 17%from 1.95 | – |
Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 00:09. Gamble responsibly, 18+.
From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.
Bermuda vs St. Lucia predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation