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  1. Simulations
  2. Bermuda vs St. Lucia
CONCACAF Nations League · 100,000 simulations

Bermuda vs St. Lucia prediction

We simulated Bermuda vs St. Lucia 100,000 times. St. Lucia won 77,467 of them (77.5%), the draw came up 12.5% of the time and Bermuda won 10%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8%), and both teams score in 60% of simulations.

Bermuda badge
Bermuda Stade Roger Zami
Today
St. Lucia badge
St. Lucia Away
10% 9,990 wins
12.5% Draw
77.5% 77,467 wins
Expected goals
1.02 – 3.04
Likeliest score
1-2 8%
Both score
60%
Over 2.5
76.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Ricangel de Leça Stade Roger Zami

Bermuda vs St. Lucia in numbers 100,000 simulations · CONCACAF Nations League · Today, 19:00

Bermuda vs St. Lucia simulation probabilities
Bermuda win10%
Draw12.5%
St. Lucia win77.5%
Most likely score1-2 (8%)
Expected goals1.02 – 3.04
Both teams to score60%
Over 1.5 goals90.5%
Over 2.5 goals76.4%
Over 3.5 goals57.3%
Bermuda score first25.6%
St. Lucia score first72.8%
Bermuda clean sheet5.1%
St. Lucia clean sheet36.5%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420733358
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Bermuda vs St. Lucia prediction FAQs

Who will win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

St. Lucia are favourites. They win 77.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 12.5% for the draw and 10% for Bermuda. Including the draw, St. Lucia avoid defeat 90% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

1-2, which came up in 8% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (8%) and 1-3 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

Both teams score in 60% of simulations. Bermuda keep a clean sheet 5.1% of the time and St. Lucia 36.5%.

How many goals will there be in Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

The simulations average 4.06 goals: 1.02 for Bermuda and 3.04 for St. Lucia. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 76.4% and over 3.5 goals 57.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.