OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close

Japan vs Brazil

Japan host Brazil in the Friendly International on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 10:15. Our model makes Brazil favourites at 45%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 3 meetings, Brazil won 2, Japan won 1 and 0 were drawn.

Friendly International Save
Japan
10:15
14 Nov
Brazil
National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo

Japan vs Brazil preview

Win probabilities

29%Japan 26%Draw 45%Brazil

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Japan vs Brazil

LineupsPredicted starting elevens Head to headResults of the last 3 meetings

Japan vs Brazil: questions and answers

When is Japan vs Brazil?

Japan vs Brazil kicks off at 10:15 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in the Friendly International, at National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo.

Who is the favourite in Japan vs Brazil?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Japan a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Brazil 45%.

Japan vs Brazil lineups

Predicted

Japan 3-5-2

  • 1 Zion Suzuki
  • 5 Tsuyoshi Watanabe
  • 4 Ko Itakura
  • 21 Hiroki Ito
  • 28 Yukinari Sugawara
  • 17 Ao Tanaka
  • 15 Daichi Kamada
  • 24 Kaishu Sano
  • 14 Junya Ito
  • 10 Ritsu Doan
  • 20 Takefusa Kubo

Brazil 4-2-3-1

  • 23 Bento
  • 6 Douglas Santos
  • 3 Gabriel
  • 24 Jair Cunha
  • 2 Wesley
  • 21 Andrey Santos
  • 8 Bruno Guimarães
  • 7 Vinicius Junior
  • 11 Estêvão
  • 26 Rayan
  • 10 Raphinha

Japan vs Brazil players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Brazil Raphinha 1.93
  2. 2 Brazil Endrick 1.82
  3. 3 Brazil Neymar  1.67
  4. 4 Japan Ayase Ueda 1.62
  5. 5 Brazil Gabriel Martinelli 1.54

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Daichi Kamada in 4 caps 2goals
Vinicius Junior in 5 caps 4goals
Top creator
Ayase Ueda in 4 caps 1assist
Bruno Guimarães in 5 caps 4assists

Players in form

  1. Raphinha Striker · Brazil 7.83 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    15
    Assists
    3
    • NP goals1.22 per 90 Top 1%
    • Finishing+0.61 per 90 Top 1%
    • xG0.88 per 90 Top 3%
  2. Neymar Attacking midfielder · Brazil 7.41 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    8
    Assists
    3
    • xG0.65 per 90 Top 1%
    • Shots3.63 per 90 Top 4%
    • Big chances0.65 per 90 Top 4%
  3. Matheus Cunha Winger · Brazil 7.34 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • NP goals0.45 per 90 Top 5%
    • Tackles2.29 per 90 Top 6%
    • Dribble %58% per 90 Top 9%
  4. Casemiro Centre-back · Brazil 7.28 Form rating
    Apps
    18
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    1
    • Passes78.54 per 90 Top 4%
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 7%
    • Duel %66% per 90 Top 10%
  5. Lucas Paquetá Attacking midfielder · Brazil 7.24 Form rating
    Apps
    24
    Goals
    7
    Assists
    1
    • Tackles3.02 per 90 Top 2%
    • Duels won8.95 per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third8.93 per 90 Top 6%
  6. Keito Nakamura Winger · Japan 7.18 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Key passes2.93 per 90 Top 5%
    • Big chances0.70 per 90 Top 5%
    • NP goals0.32 per 90 Top 19%
  7. Danilo Defensive midfielder · Brazil 7.18 Form rating
    Apps
    25
    Goals
    10
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes1.65 per 90 Top 7%
    • Recoveries5.97 per 90 Top 16%
  8. Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper · Japan 7.10 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Clearances1.77 per 90 Top 5%
    • Touches49.68 per 90 Top 6%
    • Saves3.90 per 90 Top 8%
  9. Junya Ito Winger · Japan 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    2
    • Crosses2.48 per 90 Top 4%
    • Big chances0.65 per 90 Top 5%
    • Key passes2.63 per 90 Top 6%
  10. Ayase Ueda Striker · Japan 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    4
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • On target1.62 per 90 Top 12%
    • xG0.59 per 90 Top 16%
    • NP goals0.57 per 90 Top 17%
  11. Daichi Kamada Attacking midfielder · Japan 6.89 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Recoveries5.11 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %86% per 90 Top 19%
    • Final third4.82 per 90 Top 30%
  12. Koki Ogawa Striker · Japan 6.88 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    0
    • Fouls won2.28 per 90 Top 12%
    • On target1.48 per 90 Top 13%
    • Aerials3.22 per 90 Top 21%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season. For national teams, form comes from club games and the leading scorers and creators count internationals over the last 18 months.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Japan vs Brazil form

Japan All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Kirin Cup H New Zealand 2–1 win
  2. Kirin Cup H Ecuador 0–0 draw Pens
  3. Friendly International H Venezuela 2–1 win
  4. Friendly International H Uruguay 3–1 win
  5. World Cup A Brazil 1–2 defeat xG 0.3–1.9
Brazil All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
2.4
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Friendly International A India 4–0 win
  2. Friendly International A Australia 4–2 win
  3. Friendly International A Australia 1–1 draw
  4. World Cup H Norway 1–2 defeat xG 2.2–1.0
  5. World Cup H Japan 2–1 win xG 1.9–0.3

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Brazil vs Japan head to head

2 Brazil wins 0 draws 1 Japan wins
3.0 goals per game 67% both teams scored 67% over 2.5 goals
  1. 14 Nov 2026Friendly International Japan 10:15 Brazil
  2. 29 Jun 2026World Cup Brazil 2–1 Japan
  3. 14 Oct 2025Friendly International Japan 3–2 Brazil
  4. 6 Jun 2022Friendly International Japan 0–1 Brazil

Japan vs Brazil odds

Best price across 8 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Japan 4.00Betfair Exchange Shortened 2%from 4.10 29%
Draw 4.00Betfair Exchange Drifted 18%from 3.40 26%
Brazil 1.981xBet Drifted 19%from 1.67 45%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Japan or Draw 1.921xBet No changefrom 1.92 55%
Draw or Brazil 1.301xBet No changefrom 1.30 71%
Japan or Brazil 1.311xBet No changefrom 1.31 74%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Japan 2.75Bet365 Drifted 5%from 2.62 39%
Brazil 1.40Bet365 Shortened 3%from 1.44 61%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.67Betfair Exchange Drifted 1%from 1.65 52%
BTTS No 2.34Betfair Exchange Drifted 6%from 2.20 48%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.25Betfair Exchange No changefrom 1.25 73%
Under 1.5 4.70Betfair Exchange Drifted 7%from 4.40 27%
Over 2.5 1.761xBet Drifted 14%from 1.54 48%
Under 2.5 2.30Betfair Exchange Drifted 1%from 2.28 52%
Over 3.5 2.85Betfair Exchange No changefrom 2.84 27%
Under 3.5 1.51Betfair Exchange Drifted 4%from 1.45 73%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Japan 4.24Pinnacle No changefrom 4.24 –
Draw 2.50Pinnacle Drifted 1%from 2.48 –
Brazil 2.50Bet365 No changefrom 2.50 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 17:46. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

29%Japan 26%Draw 45%Brazil

Double chance

  • Japan or draw 55%
  • Brazil or draw 71%
  • Japan or Brazil 74%
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Japan vs Brazil predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation