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  1. Simulations
  2. Japan vs Brazil
Friendly International · 100,000 simulations

Japan vs Brazil prediction

We simulated Japan vs Brazil 100,000 times. Brazil won 48,713 of them (48.7%), the draw came up 24.7% of the time and Japan won 26.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Brazil win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations.

Japan badge
Japan National Olympic Stadium
Tomorrow
Brazil badge
Brazil Away
26.6% 26,628 wins
24.7% Draw
48.7% 48,713 wins
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.74
Likeliest score
1-1 11.4% Top Brazil win: 1-2 9.4%
Both score
58.4%
Over 2.5
56.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo

Japan vs Brazil in numbers 100,000 simulations · Friendly International · Tomorrow, 10:15

Japan vs Brazil simulation probabilities
Japan win26.6%
Draw24.7%
Brazil win48.7%
Most likely score1-1 (11.4%)
Expected goals1.23 – 1.74
Both teams to score58.4%
Over 1.5 goals79.9%
Over 2.5 goals56.8%
Over 3.5 goals34.7%
Japan score first40.5%
Brazil score first53.5%
Japan clean sheet17.9%
Brazil clean sheet29.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420721049
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Japan vs Brazil prediction FAQs

Who will win Japan vs Brazil?

Brazil are favourites. They win 48.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.7% for the draw and 26.6% for Japan. Including the draw, Brazil avoid defeat 73.4% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Japan vs Brazil?

1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Brazil win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Japan vs Brazil?

Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations. Japan keep a clean sheet 17.9% of the time and Brazil 29.6%.

How many goals will there be in Japan vs Brazil?

The simulations average 2.97 goals: 1.23 for Japan and 1.74 for Brazil. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.8% and over 3.5 goals 34.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.