Guatemala vs Canada

Guatemala host Canada in the North & Central America CONCACAF Nations League on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 02:00. Our model makes Guatemala favourites at 39%, with a 27% chance of a draw. In their last 6 meetings, Canada won 4, Guatemala won 1 and 1 was drawn.

North & Central America CONCACAF Nations League Sat 14 Nov 2026, 02:00 Save

Guatemala

02:00

14 Nov

Canada

Ivan Barton

Guatemala vs Canada preview

Goals scored Guatemala: 2.25 Canada: 1.00
Goals conceded Guatemala: 1.00 Canada: 0.67
Both teams scored Guatemala: 3 of 838% Canada: 1 of 333%
Over 2.5 goals Guatemala: 4 of 850% Canada: 1 of 333%
Match corners Guatemala: 9.50 Canada: 7.33
Match cards Guatemala: 3.88 Canada: 4.00

Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

39%Guatemala 27%Draw 35%Canada

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Guatemala vs Canada

Team statsGoals, corners and cards for both teams StandingsThe CONCACAF Nations League table LineupsPredicted starting elevens Head to headResults of the last 6 meetings

Guatemala vs Canada: questions and answers

When is Guatemala vs Canada?

Guatemala vs Canada kicks off at 02:00 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 in the CONCACAF Nations League.

Who is the favourite in Guatemala vs Canada?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Guatemala a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Canada 35%.

Guatemala vs Canada stats

Last 5 Last 20 Season

Guatemala5W 0D 3L · 8 home games

Canada2W 0D 1L · 3 away games

Guatemala vs Canada general stats: Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Match outcomes
5 of 863%	Win	2 of 367%
0 of 80%	Draw	0 of 30%
3 of 838%	Loss	1 of 333%
15	Points	6
1.88	Points per game	2.00
10	Goal difference	1
Expected goals
0.73	xG per game	1.41
0.22	xGA per game	0.36
12.19	xG performance	-1.24
Possession & attacks
53%	Possession	51%
50.00	Dangerous attacks	57.33
40.88	Dangerous attacks against	21.00
Shots
13.88	Shots for	12.67
11.13	Shots against	4.67
5.38	On target for	6.33
3.88	On target against	1.67
16%	Shot conversion	8%
39%	On-target accuracy	50%
Tackles & fouls
11.75	Tackles	11.00
9.25	Fouls committed	14.67
8.25	Fouls won	14.33
0.88	Offsides	1.67

Guatemala vs Canada goals stats: Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Goals overview
3.25	Goals per game (total)	1.67
18	Goals scored	3
2.25	Scored per game	1.00
8	Goals conceded	2
1.00	Conceded per game	0.67
Outcomes
5 of 863%	Scored first	2 of 367%
2 of 825%	Failed to score	0 of 30%
3 of 838%	Clean sheet	2 of 367%
3 of 838%	BTTS	1 of 333%
3 of 838%	BTTS & over 2.5	1 of 333%
4 of 850%	BTTS or over 2.5	1 of 333%
Total goals
8 of 8100%	Over 0.5	3 of 3100%
5 of 863%	Over 1.5	1 of 333%
4 of 850%	Over 2.5	1 of 333%
4 of 850%	Over 3.5	0 of 30%
Goals scored
6 of 875%	Scored 1+	3 of 3100%
5 of 863%	Scored 2+	0 of 30%
3 of 838%	Scored 3+	0 of 30%
Goals conceded
5 of 863%	Conceded 1+	1 of 333%
2 of 825%	Conceded 2+	1 of 333%
1 of 813%	Conceded 3+	0 of 30%

Guatemala vs Canada halves & timing stats: Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Half-time result
2 of 825%	Winning at HT	0 of 30%
3 of 838%	Drawing at HT	3 of 3100%
3 of 838%	Losing at HT	0 of 30%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Guatemala vs Canada corners stats: Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Corners per game
9.50	Total corners	7.33
6.50	Corners for	6.00
3.00	Corners against	1.33
7 of 888%	Most corners	3 of 3100%
Match corner lines
5 of 863%	Over 7.5	2 of 367%
5 of 863%	Over 8.5	1 of 333%
4 of 850%	Over 9.5	0 of 30%
3 of 838%	Over 10.5	0 of 30%
1 of 813%	Over 11.5	0 of 30%
1 of 813%	Over 12.5	0 of 30%
Corners for lines
4 of 850%	For over 4.5	2 of 367%
4 of 850%	For over 5.5	2 of 367%
4 of 850%	For over 6.5	2 of 367%
3 of 838%	For over 7.5	0 of 30%
Corners against lines
1 of 813%	Against over 4.5	0 of 30%
1 of 813%	Against over 5.5	0 of 30%
1 of 813%	Against over 6.5	0 of 30%
By half
2.38	1H total	4.00
1.63	1H for	3.00
0.75	1H against	1.00
1.75	2H total	3.33
0.50	2H for	3.00
1.25	2H against	0.33

Guatemala vs Canada cards stats: Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Cards per game
3.88	Total cards	4.00
2.13	Cards received	2.67
1.75	Opponent cards	1.33
2 of 825%	Most cards	3 of 3100%
Match card lines
5 of 863%	Over 2.5	2 of 367%
5 of 863%	Over 3.5	1 of 333%
3 of 838%	Over 4.5	1 of 333%
1 of 813%	Over 5.5	1 of 333%
Cards received lines
7 of 888%	Received 1+	3 of 3100%
5 of 863%	Received 2+	3 of 3100%
3 of 838%	Received 3+	1 of 333%
Opponent card lines
7 of 888%	Opponent 1+	2 of 367%
5 of 863%	Opponent 2+	1 of 333%
2 of 825%	Opponent 3+	1 of 333%
By half
1.25	1H total	1.33
0.75	1H received	0.33
2.75	2H total	2.67
1.38	2H received	2.33

Guatemala vs Canada other stats: Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Shots & conversion
25.00	Total shots (match)	17.33
9.25	Total on target (match)	8.00
42%	On-target conversion	16%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Guatemala's last 8 home games and Canada's last 3 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Guatemala4W 3D 3L · 10 games

Canada5W 2D 3L · 10 games

Guatemala vs Canada general stats: Guatemala's last 10 games and Canada's last 10 games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Match outcomes
4 of 1040%	Win	5 of 1050%
3 of 1030%	Draw	2 of 1020%
3 of 1030%	Loss	3 of 1030%
15	Points	17
1.50	Points per game	1.70
7	Goal difference	6
Expected goals
0.72	xG per game	1.32
0.54	xGA per game	0.34
9.76	xG performance	1.85
Possession & attacks
48%	Possession	49%
47.10	Dangerous attacks	63.00
57.20	Dangerous attacks against	18.50
Shots
13.40	Shots for	12.00
11.20	Shots against	4.60
4.00	On target for	4.40
3.60	On target against	1.90
13%	Shot conversion	13%
30%	On-target accuracy	37%
Tackles & fouls
16.20	Tackles	9.70
13.40	Fouls committed	10.20
10.90	Fouls won	10.70
1.90	Offsides	1.10

Guatemala vs Canada goals stats: Guatemala's last 10 games and Canada's last 10 games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Goals overview
2.70	Goals per game (total)	2.40
17	Goals scored	15
1.70	Scored per game	1.50
10	Goals conceded	9
1.00	Conceded per game	0.90
Outcomes
7 of 1070%	Scored first	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Failed to score	3 of 1030%
4 of 1040%	Clean sheet	5 of 1050%
5 of 1050%	BTTS	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	BTTS & over 2.5	2 of 1020%
6 of 1060%	BTTS or over 2.5	6 of 1060%
Total goals
9 of 1090%	Over 0.5	9 of 1090%
6 of 1060%	Over 1.5	7 of 1070%
4 of 1040%	Over 2.5	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	Over 3.5	1 of 1010%
Goals scored
8 of 1080%	Scored 1+	7 of 1070%
4 of 1040%	Scored 2+	3 of 1030%
2 of 1020%	Scored 3+	2 of 1020%
Goals conceded
6 of 1060%	Conceded 1+	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Conceded 2+	3 of 1030%
2 of 1020%	Conceded 3+	1 of 1010%

Guatemala vs Canada halves & timing stats: Guatemala's last 10 games and Canada's last 10 games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Half-time result
1 of 1010%	Winning at HT	2 of 1020%
8 of 1080%	Drawing at HT	5 of 1050%
1 of 1010%	Losing at HT	2 of 1020%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Guatemala vs Canada corners stats: Guatemala's last 10 games and Canada's last 10 games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Corners per game
8.10	Total corners	8.90
4.90	Corners for	7.20
3.20	Corners against	1.70
6 of 1060%	Most corners	8 of 1080%
Match corner lines
6 of 1060%	Over 7.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Over 8.5	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	Over 9.5	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Over 10.5	3 of 1030%
1 of 1010%	Over 11.5	3 of 1030%
1 of 1010%	Over 12.5	2 of 1020%
Corners for lines
4 of 1040%	For over 4.5	7 of 1070%
4 of 1040%	For over 5.5	6 of 1060%
4 of 1040%	For over 6.5	6 of 1060%
3 of 1030%	For over 7.5	3 of 1030%
Corners against lines
3 of 1030%	Against over 4.5	0 of 100%
2 of 1020%	Against over 5.5	0 of 100%
0 of 100%	Against over 6.5	0 of 100%
By half
1.50	1H total	4.40
1.00	1H for	3.40
0.50	1H against	1.00
1.00	2H total	4.50
0.30	2H for	3.80
0.70	2H against	0.70

Guatemala vs Canada cards stats: Guatemala's last 10 games and Canada's last 10 games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Cards per game
3.70	Total cards	3.80
1.90	Cards received	2.00
1.80	Opponent cards	1.80
3 of 1030%	Most cards	3 of 1030%
Match card lines
6 of 1060%	Over 2.5	7 of 1070%
5 of 1050%	Over 3.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Over 4.5	4 of 1040%
2 of 1020%	Over 5.5	3 of 1030%
Cards received lines
9 of 1090%	Received 1+	8 of 1080%
6 of 1060%	Received 2+	7 of 1070%
3 of 1030%	Received 3+	3 of 1030%
Opponent card lines
10 of 10100%	Opponent 1+	8 of 1080%
6 of 1060%	Opponent 2+	6 of 1060%
3 of 1030%	Opponent 3+	5 of 1050%
By half
1.20	1H total	2.20
0.60	1H received	0.90
2.60	2H total	1.60
1.30	2H received	1.10

Guatemala vs Canada other stats: Guatemala's last 10 games and Canada's last 10 games in all competitions
Guatemala	Stat	Canada
Shots & conversion
24.60	Total shots (match)	16.60
7.60	Total on target (match)	6.30
43%	On-target conversion	34%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Guatemala's last 10 games and Canada's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 02:52 UK.

Referee: Ivan Barton

Ivan Barton has shown 5.4 yellow cards a game across 14 games this season.

Yellow cards per game: 5.43
Over 3.5 cards: 93%
Both teams booked: 100%
Red cards per game: 0.86

Home side booked 2.9 times a game, away side 2.6. Full referee profile

Guatemala vs Canada lineups

Predicted

Guatemala

21 Luis Morán

7 Aarón Herrera
3 Nicolás Samayoa
2 José Ardón
16 José Morales

19 William Fajardo
5 José Rosales
8 R. Saravia
23 José Bolaños

14 Darwin Lom
9 R. Rubín

Canada

16 Maxime Crépeau

19 Alphonso Davies
5 Joel Waterman
4 Luc De Fougerolles
22 Richie Laryea

11 Liam Millar
23 Niko Sigur
6 Mathieu Choinière
17 Tajon Buchanan

12 Tani Oluwaseyi
21 Jacen Russell-Rowe

Guatemala vs Canada players

Guatemala

Top scorer: William Fajardo 3 goals in 4 caps
Top creator: Olger Escobar 3 assists in 4 caps

In form

R. Rubín Striker 7.18 NP goals 88% Key passes 83% Recoveries 83%
J. Aparicio Central midfielder 7.06 Passes 95% Pass % 95% Recoveries 95%
Darwin Lom Striker 7.04 Big chances 87% Key passes 71% On target 70%
Allen Yanes Centre-back 6.87 Interceptions 95% Duel % 95% Pass % 94%
Antonio López Winger 6.85 Crosses 95% Big chances 88% Recoveries 86%

Canada

Top scorer: Jonathan David 3 goals in 5 caps
Top creator: Nathan Saliba 2 assists in 3 caps

In form

Liam Millar Winger 7.11 Big chances 92% NP goals 89% Key passes 80%
Maxime Crépeau Goalkeeper 7.02 Saves 93% Ball security 79% Pass % 75%
Alistair Johnston Full-back 6.98 Final third 97% Duel % 93% Assists 92%
Cyle Larin Striker 6.93 NP goals 94% xG 86% On target 85%
Mathieu Choinière Central midfielder 6.93 Final third 92% Passes 90% Pass % 88%

Form rating weights recent games most. Percentages compare each player with others in his role. For national teams, form comes from club games and scorers count internationals over the last 18 months.

Player rankings

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Guatemala vs Canada form

Guatemala W D W L L

Canada L W W L W

Last 5 results in all competitions before kick-off, most recent first.

Canada vs Guatemala head to head

4 Canada wins 1 draws 1 Guatemala wins

1.7 goals per game 0% both teams scored 33% over 2.5 goals

17 Nov 2026CONCACAF Nations League Canada 01:00 Guatemala
14 Nov 2026CONCACAF Nations League Guatemala 02:00 Canada
18 Jan 2026Friendly International Canada 1–0 Guatemala
29 Jun 2025CONCACAF Gold Cup Canada Pen Guatemala
2 Jul 2023CONCACAF Gold Cup Guatemala 0–0 Canada
23 Jan 2022Friendly International Guatemala Canc Canada
27 Mar 2015Friendly International Canada 1–0 Guatemala
30 Jun 2009Friendly International Guatemala 0–3 Canada
16 Jun 2007CONCACAF Gold Cup Canada 3–0 Guatemala
17 Aug 2004WC Qualification Concacaf Canada 0–2 Guatemala

Guatemala vs Canada standings

League A Group B

CONCACAF Nations League League A Group B table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Guatemala	4	2	1	1	9	3	+6	7
2	Jamaica	4	2	1	1	6	4	+2	7
3	Suriname	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7
4	Honduras	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	4
5	Martinique	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2	4
6	El Salvador	4	1	1	2	4	10	-6	4

Guatemala
Canada
Relegation

CONCACAF Nations League 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 03:04 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Guatemala vs Canada odds

Best price across 8 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Guatemala	5.30Kambi Group	Shortened 2%from 5.40	39%
Draw	4.90Betfair Exchange	Drifted 14%from 4.30	27%
Canada	1.65Betano	No changefrom 1.65	35%

Double Chance
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Guatemala or Draw	2.281xBet	Shortened 11%from 2.56	66%
Draw or Canada	1.17WilliamHill	Drifted 8%from 1.08	61%
Guatemala or Canada	1.22Bet365	No changefrom 1.22	73%

Draw No Bet
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Guatemala	3.75Bet365	Shortened 13%from 4.33	53%
Canada	1.25Bet365	Drifted 4%from 1.20	47%

Both Teams to Score
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
BTTS Yes	2.10FanDuel	Drifted 7%from 1.96	54%
BTTS No	1.88Betfair Exchange	Drifted 1%from 1.86	46%

Total Goals
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Over 1.5	1.30Betfair Exchange	Shortened 2%from 1.32	75%
Under 1.5	3.80Betfair Exchange	Shortened 1%from 3.85	25%
Over 2.5	1.95Bet365	Drifted 5%from 1.85	51%
Under 2.5	1.99Betfair Exchange	Drifted 9%from 1.83	49%
Over 3.5	3.50Betfair Exchange	Drifted 3%from 3.40	29%
Under 3.5	1.37Betfair Exchange	Drifted 2%from 1.35	71%

Half-Time Result
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Guatemala	5.50Bet365	Shortened 8%from 6.00	–
Draw	2.341xBet	Shortened 4%from 2.43	–
Canada	2.22Pinnacle	Drifted 6%from 2.10	–

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 03:02. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

39%Guatemala 27%Draw 35%Canada

Half-time result Pro

Guatemala
Draw
Canada

Double chance

Guatemala or draw 65%
Canada or draw 61%
Guatemala or Canada 73%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Guatemala/Guatemala
Guatemala/Draw
Guatemala/Canada
Draw/Guatemala
Draw/Draw
Draw/Canada
Canada/Guatemala
Canada/Draw
Canada/Canada

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

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Match info

Where to watch Guatemala vs Canada

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Football on TV today

Managers: Luis Tena Garduño Guatemala Jesse Marsch Canada
Officials: Referee Ivan Barton 1st Assistant D. Morán Santos 2nd Assistant H. Pupiro 4th Official J. Calderón

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Guatemala vs Canada preview

Win probabilities

More on Guatemala vs Canada

Guatemala vs Canada: questions and answers

Guatemala vs Canada stats

Referee: Ivan Barton

Guatemala vs Canada lineups

Guatemala

Canada

Guatemala vs Canada players

Guatemala

In form

Canada

In form

Player rankings

Guatemala vs Canada form

Canada vs Guatemala head to head

Guatemala vs Canada standings

League A Group B

Guatemala vs Canada odds

Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Guatemala goals 0.5 Pro

Guatemala goals 1.5 Pro

Guatemala goals 2.5 Pro

Guatemala goals 3.5 Pro

Canada goals 0.5 Pro

Canada goals 1.5 Pro

Canada goals 2.5 Pro

Canada goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro