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Everton vs Chelsea

Everton host Chelsea in the England Premier League on Saturday 17 October 2026, kick-off 12:30. Our model makes Everton favourites at 42%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 12 meetings, Chelsea won 5, Everton won 4 and 3 were drawn.

England Premier League Save
Everton
12:30
17 Oct
Chelsea
Hill Dickinson Stadium, England Referee: Paul Tierney

Win probabilities

42%Everton 25%Draw 34%Chelsea
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Everton vs Chelsea predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

Everton D W W D D
Chelsea W L D W L
EvertonChelsea
20% Win rate 40%
1.20 Goals scored 2.40
1.00 Goals conceded 2.20
60% Both teams score 80%
40% Over 2.5 goals 100%
40% Clean sheets 0%
20% Scored first 80%
1.38 xG for 1.38
1.33 xG against 1.63
11.20 Match corners 11.40

From 5 and 5 matches.

Chelsea vs Everton head to head

5 Chelsea wins 3 draws 4 Everton wins
2.1 goals per game 17% both teams scored 25% over 2.5 goals
  1. 15 May 2027Premier League Chelsea 15:00 Everton
  2. 17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 12:30 Chelsea
  3. 21 Mar 2026Premier League Everton 3–0 Chelsea
  4. 13 Dec 2025Premier League Chelsea 2–0 Everton
  5. 26 Apr 2025Premier League Chelsea 1–0 Everton
  6. 22 Dec 2024Premier League Everton 0–0 Chelsea
  7. 15 Apr 2024Premier League Chelsea 6–0 Everton
  8. 10 Dec 2023Premier League Everton 2–0 Chelsea
  9. 18 Mar 2023Premier League Chelsea 2–2 Everton
  10. 6 Aug 2022Premier League Everton 0–1 Chelsea
  11. 1 May 2022Premier League Everton 1–0 Chelsea
  12. 16 Dec 2021Premier League Chelsea 1–1 Everton
  13. 8 Mar 2021Premier League Chelsea 2–0 Everton
  14. 12 Dec 2020Premier League Everton 1–0 Chelsea