Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool host Chelsea in the England Carabao Cup on Wednesday 28 October 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Liverpool favourites at 46%, with a 22% chance of a draw. In their last 15 meetings, Chelsea won 3, Liverpool won 4 and 8 were drawn.

England Carabao Cup Wed 28 Oct 2026, 20:00 Save

Liverpool

20:00

28 Oct

Chelsea

Anfield, Liverpool

Win probabilities

46%Liverpool 22%Draw 32%Chelsea

Half-time result Pro

Liverpool
Draw
Chelsea

Double chance

Liverpool or draw 68%
Chelsea or draw 54%
Liverpool or Chelsea 78%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Liverpool/Liverpool
Liverpool/Draw
Liverpool/Chelsea
Draw/Liverpool
Draw/Draw
Draw/Chelsea
Chelsea/Liverpool
Chelsea/Draw
Chelsea/Chelsea

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Form

Liverpool L W W D W

Chelsea W L D W L

LiverpoolChelsea

100% Win rate 100%

3.00 Goals scored 4.00

1.00 Goals conceded 1.50

100% Both teams score 50%

100% Over 2.5 goals 50%

0% Clean sheets 50%

100% Scored first 50%

1.25 xG for 2.63

2.26 xG against 1.49

14.00 Match corners 10.00

From 1 and 2 matches.

100% Win rate 100%

3.00 Goals scored 4.00

1.00 Goals conceded 1.50

100% Both teams score 50%

100% Over 2.5 goals 50%

0% Clean sheets 50%

100% Scored first 50%

1.25 xG for 2.63

2.26 xG against 1.49

14.00 Match corners 10.00

From 1 and 2 matches.

100% Win rate 100%

3.00 Goals scored 4.00

1.00 Goals conceded 1.50

100% Both teams score 50%

100% Over 2.5 goals 50%

0% Clean sheets 50%

100% Scored first 50%

1.25 xG for 2.63

2.26 xG against 1.49

14.00 Match corners 10.00

From 1 and 2 matches.

Liverpool at home and Chelsea away this season.

100% Win rate –

3.00 Goals scored –

1.00 Goals conceded –

100% Both teams score –

100% Over 2.5 goals –

0% Clean sheets –

100% Scored first –

1.25 xG for –

2.26 xG against –

14.00 Match corners –

From 1 and 0 matches.

Chelsea vs Liverpool head to head

3 Chelsea wins 8 draws 4 Liverpool wins

1.9 goals per game 53% both teams scored 33% over 2.5 goals

Predictions

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Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Liverpool goals 0.5 Pro

Liverpool goals 1.5 Pro

Liverpool goals 2.5 Pro

Liverpool goals 3.5 Pro

Chelsea goals 0.5 Pro

Chelsea goals 1.5 Pro

Chelsea goals 2.5 Pro

Chelsea goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro

Form

Chelsea vs Liverpool head to head