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Incheon United vs Ulsan HD

Incheon United host Ulsan HD in the South Korea K League 1 on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 07:30. Our model makes Incheon United favourites at 42%, with a 28% chance of a draw. In their last 19 meetings, Incheon United won 3, Ulsan HD won 8 and 8 were drawn.

South Korea K League 1 Save
Incheon United
07:30
21 Nov
Ulsan HD
Sungui Arena Park, Incheon

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD preview

Incheon United have scored 1.70 goals a game and conceded 0.70 across their last 10 home games in the K League 1 this season, while Ulsan HD have scored 1.50 and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Incheon United's last 10 home games and 7 of Ulsan HD's last 10 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 2 of Incheon United's last 10 home games. Incheon United's last 10 home games have averaged 7.5 corners and Ulsan HD's last 10 away games 8.2. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 10:53 UK.

  • Goals scored Incheon United: 1.70 Ulsan HD: 1.50
  • Goals conceded Incheon United: 0.70 Ulsan HD: 1.40
  • Both teams scored Incheon United: 6 of 1060% Ulsan HD: 7 of 1070%
  • Over 2.5 goals Incheon United: 4 of 1040% Ulsan HD: 6 of 1060%
  • Match corners Incheon United: 7.50 Ulsan HD: 8.20
  • Match cards Incheon United: 3.90 Ulsan HD: 3.20

Incheon United's last 10 home games and Ulsan HD's last 10 away games in the K League 1 this season.

Win probabilities

42%Incheon United 28%Draw 31%Ulsan HD

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD: questions and answers

When is Incheon United vs Ulsan HD?

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD kicks off at 07:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the K League 1, at Sungui Arena Park, Incheon.

Who is the favourite in Incheon United vs Ulsan HD?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Incheon United a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ulsan HD 31%.

How many goals do Incheon United and Ulsan HD games have?

Incheon United have scored 1.70 goals a game and conceded 0.70 across their last 10 home games in the K League 1 this season, while Ulsan HD have scored 1.50 and conceded 1.40 across their last 10 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Incheon United's last 10 home games and 7 of Ulsan HD's last 10 away games.

Where are Incheon United and Ulsan HD in the K League 1 table?

Incheon United are 6th in Regular Season with 46 points from 33 games. Ulsan HD are 2nd in Regular Season with 51 points from 33 games.

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD stats

Incheon United5W 4D 1L · 10 home games
Ulsan HD3W 3D 4L · 10 away games
Incheon United vs Ulsan HD general stats: Incheon United's last 10 home games and Ulsan HD's last 10 away games in the K League 1 this season
Incheon UnitedStatUlsan HD
Match outcomes
5 of 1050% Win 3 of 1030%
4 of 1040% Draw 3 of 1030%
1 of 1010% Loss 4 of 1040%
19 Points 12
1.90 Points per game 1.20
10 Goal difference 1
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
17.00 xG performance 15.00
Possession & attacks
56% Possession 46%
73.50 Dangerous attacks 58.70
52.00 Dangerous attacks against 71.90
Shots
12.90 Shots for 11.20
9.00 Shots against 13.80
5.20 On target for 4.70
3.30 On target against 4.40
13% Shot conversion 13%
40% On-target accuracy 42%
Tackles & fouls
9.90 Tackles 14.20
11.00 Fouls committed 10.00
8.60 Fouls won 9.40
1.40 Offsides 1.90

Incheon United's last 10 home games and Ulsan HD's last 10 away games in the K League 1 this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 10:53 UK.

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Ulsan HD Yago Cariello 2.56
  2. 2 Ulsan HD Marcão 1.68
  3. 3 Incheon United Stefan Mugosa 1.37
  4. 4 Ulsan HD Dong-gyeong Lee 1.11
  5. 5 Incheon United Min-hyuk Lee 1.01

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Stefan Mugosa in 32 games 14goals
Yago Cariello in 28 games 17goals
Top creator
Ju-yong Lee in 34 games 4assists
Dong-gyeong Lee in 34 games 13assists

Players in form

  1. Dong-gyeong Lee Attacking midfielder · Ulsan HD 7.13 Form rating
    Apps
    34
    Goals
    13
    Assists
    13
    • Assists0.51 per 90 Top 2%
    • Big chances0.66 per 90 Top 3%
    • Key passes3.71 per 90 Top 4%
  2. Marcão Striker · Ulsan HD 6.97 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    2
    • Big chances0.58 per 90 Top 5%
    • On target1.68 per 90 Top 8%
    • Aerials4.64 per 90 Top 8%
  3. Yago Cariello Striker · Ulsan HD 6.86 Form rating
    Apps
    28
    Goals
    17
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.81 per 90 Top 4%
    • On target2.56 per 90 Top 4%
    • Fouls won2.26 per 90 Top 12%
  4. Stefan Mugosa Striker · Incheon United 6.82 Form rating
    Apps
    32
    Goals
    14
    Assists
    2
    • On target1.37 per 90 Top 19%
  5. Chung-yong Lee Striker · Incheon United 6.75 Form rating
    Apps
    35
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    2
    • Big chances0.20 per 90 Top 20%
    • Key passes1.15 per 90 Top 26%
  6. Young-whan Kim Central midfielder · Incheon United 6.73 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Pass %88% per 90 Top 9%
    • Passes50.95 per 90 Top 14%
    • Big chances0.23 per 90 Top 15%
  7. Juan Ibiza Centre-back · Incheon United 6.72 Form rating
    Apps
    32
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    1
    • Passes65.67 per 90 Top 5%
    • Pass %89% per 90 Top 14%
    • Duel %61% per 90 Top 17%
  8. Myeong-kwan Seo Centre-back · Ulsan HD 6.71 Form rating
    Apps
    19
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Tackles2.13 per 90 Top 4%
    • Clearances5.88 per 90 Top 17%
    • Interceptions2.00 per 90 Top 24%
  9. Park Yong-Woo Centre-back · Ulsan HD 6.68 Form rating
    Apps
    6
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 5%
    • Passes61.05 per 90 Top 10%
    • Recoveries4.32 per 90 Top 17%
  10. Jae-min Seo Central midfielder · Incheon United 6.64 Form rating
    Apps
    34
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Passes57.29 per 90 Top 6%
    • Pass %87% per 90 Top 16%
    • Dribbles1.16 per 90 Top 16%
  11. Dong-ryul Lee Winger · Incheon United 6.64 Form rating
    Apps
    31
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    2
    • NP goals0.36 per 90 Top 19%
  12. Pedrinho Winger · Ulsan HD 6.62 Form rating
    Apps
    7
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    1
    • Shots2.93 per 90 Top 14%
    • Assists0.33 per 90 Top 14%
    • Tackles1.33 per 90 Top 22%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD form

Incheon United All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. K League 1 A Daejeon Citizen 0–2 defeat
  2. K League 1 A Seoul 1–0 win
  3. K League 1 H Jeju United 3–1 win
  4. K League 1 A Gangwon 1–1 draw
  5. K League 1 H Pohang Steelers 3–0 win
Ulsan HD All venues
3 W · 1 D · 1 L
Points per game
2.00
Scored per game
2.2
Conceded per game
1.8
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
  1. K League 1 A Seoul 2–1 win
  2. K League 1 H Gangwon 2–1 win
  3. K League 1 H Pohang Steelers 2–2 draw
  4. K League 1 H Bucheon 1995 2–1 win
  5. K League 1 A Gwangju 3–4 defeat

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD head to head

3 Incheon United wins 8 draws 8 Ulsan HD wins
2.5 goals per game 58% both teams scored 58% over 2.5 goals
  1. 21 Nov 2026K League 1 Incheon United 07:30 Ulsan HD
  2. 12 Sep 2026K League 1 Ulsan HD 2–1 Incheon United
  3. 21 Jul 2026K League 1 Ulsan HD 1–2 Incheon United
  4. 11 Apr 2026K League 1 Incheon United 1–2 Ulsan HD
  5. 14 May 2025Korean Cup Ulsan HD 3–0 Incheon United
  6. 22 Sep 2024K League 1 Incheon United 0–0 Ulsan
  7. 17 Jul 2024Korean Cup Ulsan 1–0 Incheon United
  8. 29 May 2024K League 1 Incheon United 1–1 Ulsan
  9. 17 Mar 2024K League 1 Ulsan 3–3 Incheon United
  10. 24 Nov 2023K League 1 Incheon United 3–1 Ulsan
  11. 8 Oct 2023K League 1 Ulsan 0–0 Incheon United
  12. 12 Jul 2023K League 1 Ulsan 1–2 Incheon United
  13. 25 Apr 2023K League 1 Incheon United 0–1 Ulsan
  14. 1 Oct 2022K League 1 Incheon United 0–3 Ulsan
  15. 14 Sep 2022K League 1 Incheon United 0–0 Ulsan
  16. 14 May 2022K League 1 Ulsan 2–2 Incheon United
  17. 2 Apr 2022K League 1 Incheon United 1–1 Ulsan
  18. 29 Aug 2021K League 1 Ulsan 3–2 Incheon United
  19. 25 Apr 2021K League 1 Incheon United 0–0 Ulsan
  20. 9 Mar 2021K League 1 Ulsan 3–1 Incheon United

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD standings

Regular Season

K League 1 Regular Season table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Seoul 3320766129 +32 67
2 Ulsan HD 33156125247 +5 51
3 Daejeon Citizen 331310105341 +12 49
4 Jeonbuk Motors 33121294333 +10 48
5 Gangwon 33111574030 +10 48
6 Incheon United 331210114335 +8 46
7 Jeju United 331210113937 +2 46
8 Anyang 331013104048 -8 43
9 Pohang Steelers 33119133039 -9 42
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 3351993341 -8 34
11 Bucheon 1995 33711153247 -15 32
12 Gwangju 33312183069 -39 21
  • Incheon United
  • Ulsan HD

K League 1 2026 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 10:53 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD odds

Best price across 4 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Incheon United 2.72Pinnacle No changefrom 2.72 42%
Draw 3.46Pinnacle No changefrom 3.46 28%
Ulsan HD 2.56Pinnacle No changefrom 2.56 31%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Incheon United or Draw 1.50WilliamHill No changefrom 1.50 69%
Draw or Ulsan HD 1.44WilliamHill No changefrom 1.44 59%
Incheon United or Ulsan HD 1.30WilliamHill No changefrom 1.30 73%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Incheon United 1.85WilliamHill No changefrom 1.85 57%
Ulsan HD 1.83WilliamHill No changefrom 1.83 43%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.65WilliamHill No changefrom 1.65 53%
BTTS No 2.18Betano No changefrom 2.18 47%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.25Pinnacle No changefrom 1.25 73%
Under 1.5 3.89Pinnacle No changefrom 3.89 27%
Over 2.5 1.85Pinnacle No changefrom 1.85 48%
Under 2.5 1.99Pinnacle No changefrom 1.99 52%
Over 3.5 3.05Pinnacle No changefrom 3.05 26%
Under 3.5 1.38Pinnacle No changefrom 1.38 74%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Incheon United 3.30Pinnacle No changefrom 3.30 –
Draw 2.30Pinnacle No changefrom 2.30 –
Ulsan HD 3.16Pinnacle No changefrom 3.16 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 15 Nov, 05:12. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

42%Incheon United 28%Draw 31%Ulsan HD
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Incheon United vs Ulsan HD predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation