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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Incheon United vs Ulsan HD 100,000 times. Incheon United won 36,490 of them (36.5%), the draw came up 28.3% of the time and Ulsan HD won 35.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.3%, while the likeliest Incheon United win is 1-0 (8.3%). Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations.
| Incheon United win | 36.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.3% |
| Ulsan HD win | 35.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | 54.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% |
| Incheon United score first | 51.2% |
| Ulsan HD score first | 40.4% |
| Incheon United clean sheet | 27.1% |
| Ulsan HD clean sheet | 26.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420741636 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Incheon United are favourites. They win 36.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.3% for the draw and 35.3% for Ulsan HD. Including the draw, Incheon United avoid defeat 64.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Incheon United win is 1-0 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.8% of simulations. Incheon United keep a clean sheet 27.1% of the time and Ulsan HD 26.4%.
The simulations average 2.67 goals: 1.35 for Incheon United and 1.32 for Ulsan HD. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.6% and over 3.5 goals 27.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
