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Jamaica vs Mexico

Jamaica host Mexico in the North & Central America CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 01:00. Our model makes Mexico favourites at 38%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 6 meetings, Jamaica won 0, Mexico won 4 and 2 were drawn.

North & Central America CONCACAF Nations League Save
Jamaica
01:00
15 Nov
Mexico
Independence Park, Kingston Referee: Mario Alberto Escobar Toca

Jamaica vs Mexico preview

Jamaica have scored 1.70 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Mexico have scored 1.80 and conceded 0.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Jamaica's last 10 home games and 1 of Mexico's last 5 away games. Mexico have won 4 of their last 5 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 1 of Mexico's last 5 away games. Jamaica's last 10 home games have averaged 7.1 corners and Mexico's last 5 away games 8.0. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK.

  • Goals scored Jamaica: 1.70 Mexico: 1.80
  • Goals conceded Jamaica: 0.60 Mexico: 0.60
  • Both teams scored Jamaica: 2 of 1020% Mexico: 1 of 520%
  • Over 2.5 goals Jamaica: 5 of 1050% Mexico: 2 of 540%
  • Match corners Jamaica: 7.10 Mexico: 8.00
  • Match cards Jamaica: 4.40 Mexico: 2.80

Jamaica's last 10 home games and Mexico's last 5 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

37%Jamaica 25%Draw 38%Mexico

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Jamaica vs Mexico: questions and answers

When is Jamaica vs Mexico?

Jamaica vs Mexico kicks off at 01:00 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the CONCACAF Nations League, at Independence Park, Kingston.

Who is the favourite in Jamaica vs Mexico?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Jamaica a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mexico 38%.

How many goals do Jamaica and Mexico games have?

Jamaica have scored 1.70 goals a game and conceded 0.60 across their last 10 home games in all competitions, while Mexico have scored 1.80 and conceded 0.60 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Jamaica's last 10 home games and 1 of Mexico's last 5 away games.

Jamaica vs Mexico stats

Jamaica6W 1D 3L · 10 home games
Mexico4W 0D 1L · 5 away games
Jamaica vs Mexico general stats: Jamaica's last 10 home games and Mexico's last 5 away games in all competitions
JamaicaStatMexico
Match outcomes
6 of 1060% Win 4 of 580%
1 of 1010% Draw 0 of 50%
3 of 1030% Loss 1 of 520%
19 Points 12
1.90 Points per game 2.40
11 Goal difference 6
Expected goals
0.62 xG per game 0.41
0.24 xGA per game 0.30
10.82 xG performance 6.94
Possession & attacks
55% Possession 54%
50.80 Dangerous attacks 41.00
32.40 Dangerous attacks against 40.20
Shots
12.80 Shots for 12.00
10.30 Shots against 8.60
4.60 On target for 5.40
3.20 On target against 2.40
13% Shot conversion 15%
36% On-target accuracy 45%
Tackles & fouls
13.60 Tackles 13.80
10.20 Fouls committed 8.80
10.30 Fouls won 11.80
1.00 Offsides 0.60

Jamaica's last 10 home games and Mexico's last 5 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 08:03 UK.

Jamaica vs Mexico lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Jamaica vs Mexico players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Mexico Santiago Gimenez 1.91
  2. 2 Mexico Julián Quiñones 1.90
  3. 3 Mexico Armando González 1.48
  4. 4 Mexico Guillermo Martínez 1.40
  5. 5 Mexico César Huerta 1.24

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Javon East in 4 caps 2goals
Julián Quiñones in 5 caps 4goals
Top creator
Miguel Freckleton in 3 caps 2assists
Roberto Alvarado in 5 caps 3assists

Players in form

  1. Julián Quiñones Striker · Mexico 7.87 Form rating
    Apps
    11
    Goals
    6
    Assists
    5
    • Assists0.48 per 90 Top 1%
    • NP goals0.80 per 90 Top 3%
    • On target1.90 per 90 Top 3%
  2. Roberto Alvarado Attacking midfielder · Mexico 7.49 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    1
    • Pass %89% per 90 Top 1%
    • Tackles2.01 per 90 Top 8%
    • Duels won6.02 per 90 Top 14%
  3. Alexis Vega Winger · Mexico 7.28 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes3.33 per 90 Top 3%
    • xG0.45 per 90 Top 5%
    • Crosses2.17 per 90 Top 5%
  4. Kaheim Dixon Winger · Jamaica 7.17 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    2
    • Tackles1.97 per 90 Top 5%
    • NP goals0.41 per 90 Top 8%
    • Recoveries4.76 per 90 Top 8%
  5. Luis Romo Centre-back · Mexico 7.17 Form rating
    Apps
    12
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    2
    • Final third14.83 per 90 Top 1%
    • Passes79.80 per 90 Top 3%
    • Recoveries4.89 per 90 Top 9%
  6. Raúl Rangel Goalkeeper · Mexico 7.10 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Clearances1.84 per 90 Top 4%
    • Ball security6.91 per 90 Top 14%
    • Pass %76% per 90 Top 15%
  7. César Montes Centre-back · Mexico 7.09 Form rating
    Apps
    5
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials5.91 per 90 Top 3%
    • Clearances8.13 per 90 Top 5%
    • Aerial %71% per 90 Top 9%
  8. Joel Latibeaudiere Centre-back · Jamaica 6.97 Form rating
    Apps
    1
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Aerials2.39 per 90 Top 30%
  9. Kasey Palmer Winger · Jamaica 6.94 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    4
    • Final third5.14 per 90 Top 4%
    • Assists0.35 per 90 Top 6%
    • Tackles1.45 per 90 Top 9%
  10. Andre Blake Goalkeeper · Jamaica 6.81 Form rating
    Apps
    32
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
  11. Tyreece Campbell Winger · Jamaica 6.81 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    1
    • Big chances0.70 per 90 Top 4%
    • Crosses1.03 per 90 Top 25%
  12. Rumarn Burrell Striker · Jamaica 6.79 Form rating
    Apps
    8
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    1
    • Recoveries3.42 per 90 Top 8%
    • xG/shot0.19 per 90 Top 18%
    • Key passes1.33 per 90 Top 24%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season. For national teams, form comes from club games and the leading scorers and creators count internationals over the last 18 months.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Jamaica vs Mexico form

Jamaica All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. CONCACAF Nations League A Honduras 1–1 draw
  2. CONCACAF Nations League A El Salvador 2–0 win
  3. CONCACAF Nations League H Honduras 0–1 defeat
  4. CONCACAF Nations League H Guatemala 3–2 win
  5. Friendly International H South Africa 1–1 draw
Mexico All venues
0 W · 2 D · 3 L
Points per game
0.40
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
2.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Friendly International H Chile 0–2 defeat
  2. Friendly International A United States 0–3 defeat
  3. Friendly International H Peru 1–1 draw
  4. Friendly International H Colombia 1–1 draw
  5. World Cup H England 2–3 defeat xG 2.1–1.8

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Jamaica vs Mexico head to head

0 Jamaica wins 2 draws 4 Mexico wins
2.7 goals per game 67% both teams scored 67% over 2.5 goals
  1. 18 Nov 2026CONCACAF Nations League Mexico 02:30 Jamaica
  2. 15 Nov 2026CONCACAF Nations League Jamaica 01:00 Mexico
  3. 23 Jun 2024Copa America Mexico 1–0 Jamaica
  4. 13 Jul 2023CONCACAF Gold Cup Jamaica 0–3 Mexico
  5. 27 Mar 2023CONCACAF Nations League Mexico 2–2 Jamaica
  6. 15 Jun 2022CONCACAF Nations League Jamaica 1–1 Mexico
  7. 28 Jan 2022WC Qualification Concacaf Jamaica 1–2 Mexico
  8. 3 Sep 2021WC Qualification Concacaf Mexico 2–1 Jamaica

Jamaica vs Mexico standings

League A Group B

CONCACAF Nations League League A Group B table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Guatemala 421193 +6 7
2 Jamaica 421164 +2 7
3 Suriname 421154 +1 7
4 Honduras 411256 -1 4
5 Martinique 411257 -2 4
6 El Salvador 4112410 -6 4
  • Jamaica
  • Mexico
  • Relegation

CONCACAF Nations League 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 09:09 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Jamaica vs Mexico odds

Best price across 8 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Jamaica 6.80Betfair Exchange Drifted 24%from 5.50 37%
Draw 4.30Betfair Exchange Drifted 15%from 3.75 25%
Mexico 1.57Betano Shortened 6%from 1.67 38%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Jamaica or Draw 2.37Bet365 Drifted 5%from 2.25 62%
Draw or Mexico 1.14Bet365 Shortened 2%from 1.16 63%
Jamaica or Mexico 1.25WilliamHill No changefrom 1.25 75%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Jamaica 4.40WilliamHill Drifted 26%from 3.50 50%
Mexico 1.20Bet365 No changefrom 1.20 50%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 2.12Betfair Exchange Drifted 1%from 2.10 53%
BTTS No 1.79Betfair Exchange Drifted 2%from 1.75 47%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.36Betfair Exchange No changefrom 1.36 76%
Under 1.5 3.50Betfair Exchange No changefrom 3.50 24%
Over 2.5 2.06Betfair Exchange Drifted 11%from 1.86 53%
Under 2.5 1.85Betfair Exchange Shortened 1%from 1.86 48%
Over 3.5 3.70Betfair Exchange Drifted 3%from 3.60 30%
Under 3.5 1.32Betfair Exchange Drifted 2%from 1.30 70%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Jamaica 6.50Bet365 Drifted 18%from 5.50 –
Draw 2.25Bet365 No changefrom 2.25 –
Mexico 2.19Pinnacle Drifted 1%from 2.18 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 08:32. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

37%Jamaica 25%Draw 38%Mexico
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.