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Southampton vs Middlesbrough

Southampton host Middlesbrough in the England Championship on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Southampton favourites at 41%, with a 25% chance of a draw. In their last 6 meetings, Middlesbrough won 2, Southampton won 1 and 3 were drawn.

England Championship Save
Southampton
20:00
27 Nov
Middlesbrough
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton vs Middlesbrough preview

Southampton have scored 2.86 goals a game and conceded 0.71 across their last 7 home games in the Championship this season, while Middlesbrough have scored 1.63 and conceded 1.25 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Southampton's last 7 home games and 5 of Middlesbrough's last 8 away games. Southampton have won 6 of their last 7 home games. Middlesbrough have scored first in 6 of their last 8 away games. Southampton's last 7 home games have averaged 10.1 corners and Middlesbrough's last 8 away games 9.8. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 11:14 UK.

  • Goals scored Southampton: 2.86 Middlesbrough: 1.63
  • Goals conceded Southampton: 0.71 Middlesbrough: 1.25
  • Both teams scored Southampton: 5 of 771% Middlesbrough: 5 of 863%
  • Over 2.5 goals Southampton: 5 of 771% Middlesbrough: 4 of 850%
  • Match corners Southampton: 10.14 Middlesbrough: 9.75
  • Match cards Southampton: 4.57 Middlesbrough: 2.88

Southampton's last 7 home games and Middlesbrough's last 8 away games in the Championship this season.

Win probabilities

41%Southampton 25%Draw 34%Middlesbrough

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Southampton vs Middlesbrough: questions and answers

When is Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

Southampton vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Friday 27 November 2026 in the Championship, at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.

Who is the favourite in Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Southampton a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Middlesbrough 34%.

How many goals do Southampton and Middlesbrough games have?

Southampton have scored 2.86 goals a game and conceded 0.71 across their last 7 home games in the Championship this season, while Middlesbrough have scored 1.63 and conceded 1.25 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 5 of Southampton's last 7 home games and 5 of Middlesbrough's last 8 away games.

Where are Southampton and Middlesbrough in the Championship table?

Southampton are 7th with 24 points from 15 games. Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough stats

All competitions , Pro
Southampton6W 1D 0L · 7 home games
Middlesbrough3W 3D 2L · 8 away games
Southampton vs Middlesbrough general stats: Southampton's last 7 home games and Middlesbrough's last 8 away games in the Championship this season
SouthamptonStatMiddlesbrough
Match outcomes
6 of 786% Win 3 of 838%
1 of 714% Draw 3 of 838%
0 of 70% Loss 2 of 825%
19 Points 12
2.71 Points per game 1.50
15 Goal difference 3
Expected goals
1.94 xG per game 1.96
1.33 xGA per game 0.96
6.39 xG performance -2.71
Possession & attacks
55% Possession 62%
43.57 Dangerous attacks 59.50
41.57 Dangerous attacks against 39.88
Shots
15.00 Shots for 18.00
14.71 Shots against 11.38
5.00 On target for 5.25
3.29 On target against 3.50
19% Shot conversion 9%
33% On-target accuracy 29%
Tackles & fouls
10.57 Tackles 17.13
13.43 Fouls committed 9.25
8.29 Fouls won 9.00
3.43 Offsides 2.38

Southampton's last 7 home games and Middlesbrough's last 8 away games in the Championship this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 11:14 UK.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Middlesbrough Will Lankshear 2.17
  2. 2 Southampton Léo Scienza 1.56
  3. 3 Southampton Cyle Larin 1.43
  4. 4 Middlesbrough Leo Castledine 1.42
  5. 5 Middlesbrough J. Sarmiento 1.33

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Cyle Larin in 11 games 7goals
Will Lankshear in 13 games 13goals
Top creator
Finn Azaz in 15 games 5assists
Amario Cozier-Duberry in 10 games 5assists

Players in form

  1. Sebastian Berhalter Central midfielder · Middlesbrough 7.54 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes3.59 per 90 Top 1%
    • Big chances0.77 per 90 Top 2%
    • G+A0.50 per 90 Top 5%
  2. Aidan Morris Defensive midfielder · Middlesbrough 7.37 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Touches96.71 per 90 Top 1%
    • Passes77.69 per 90 Top 2%
    • Pass %91% per 90 Top 4%
  3. Will Lankshear Striker · Middlesbrough 7.35 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    13
    Assists
    0
    • NP goals1.10 per 90 Top 1%
    • On target2.17 per 90 Top 2%
    • Finishing+0.44 per 90 Top 2%
  4. Callum Brittain Full-back · Middlesbrough 7.27 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    2
    • Dribbles1.82 per 90 Top 3%
    • Key passes1.75 per 90 Top 5%
    • Final third8.66 per 90 Top 9%
  5. Amario Cozier-Duberry Winger · Middlesbrough 7.24 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    5
    • Shots3.92 per 90 Top 4%
    • Assists0.52 per 90 Top 4%
    • Key passes2.22 per 90 Top 14%
  6. Finn Azaz Attacking midfielder · Southampton 7.21 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    5
    • Big chances0.51 per 90 Top 10%
    • Final third6.63 per 90 Top 18%
    • Key passes2.34 per 90 Top 20%
  7. Léo Scienza Winger · Southampton 7.19 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    2
    • Shots2.85 per 90 Top 15%
    • Big chances0.47 per 90 Top 16%
    • Dribble %54% per 90 Top 19%
  8. James Ward-Prowse Defensive midfielder · Southampton 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    1
    • Pass %92% per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third11.71 per 90 Top 4%
    • Passes71.70 per 90 Top 4%
  9. Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper · Southampton 7.11 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Passes45.26 per 90 Top 4%
    • Touches55.31 per 90 Top 4%
    • Aerials0.51 per 90 Top 8%
  10. Ryan Manning Full-back · Southampton 7.08 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    3
    • Key passes2.61 per 90 Top 2%
    • Big chances0.66 per 90 Top 3%
    • Final third11.20 per 90 Top 3%
  11. Keven Schlotterbeck Centre-back · Southampton 7.05 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Aerial %71% per 90 Top 8%
    • Duel %67% per 90 Top 8%
    • Passes65.63 per 90 Top 12%
  12. Adilson Malanda Centre-back · Middlesbrough 6.99 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Passes82.10 per 90 Top 3%
    • Aerials3.57 per 90 Top 10%
    • Recoveries4.43 per 90 Top 14%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Southampton vs Middlesbrough form

Southampton All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Championship A Preston North End 0–1 defeat xG 1.8–1.2
  2. Championship A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 draw xG 1.1–2.2
  3. Championship H Queens Park Rangers 4–1 win xG 1.5–1.1
  4. Championship A West Ham United 3–2 win xG 1.5–1.8
  5. Championship H Bolton Wanderers 0–0 draw xG 2.1–1.1
Middlesbrough All venues
2 W · 2 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.60
Scored per game
2.0
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Championship A Watford 0–0 draw xG 1.9–0.4
  2. Championship A Wrexham 0–2 defeat xG 1.2–1.2
  3. Championship H Charlton Athletic 3–0 win xG 1.3–0.7
  4. Championship A Bolton Wanderers 5–1 win xG 3.5–0.7
  5. Championship H Cardiff City 2–2 draw xG 3.1–1.0

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Middlesbrough vs Southampton head to head

2 Middlesbrough wins 3 draws 1 Southampton wins
2.3 goals per game 67% both teams scored 50% over 2.5 goals
  1. 13 Mar 2027Championship Middlesbrough 15:00 Southampton
  2. 27 Nov 2026Championship Southampton 20:00 Middlesbrough
  3. 12 May 2026Championship Southampton 2–1AET Middlesbrough
  4. 9 May 2026Championship Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton
  5. 4 Jan 2026Championship Middlesbrough 4–0 Southampton
  6. 27 Sep 2025Championship Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
  7. 29 Mar 2024Championship Southampton 1–1 Middlesbrough
  8. 23 Sep 2023Championship Middlesbrough 2–1 Southampton

Southampton vs Middlesbrough standings

Championship table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Birmingham City 158522814 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 158523019 +11 29
3 Stoke City 159242418 +6 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers 158432618 +8 28
5 West Bromwich Albion 158432315 +8 28
6 Swansea City 158252218 +4 26
7 Southampton 158432915 +14 24
8 Queens Park Rangers 156632418 +6 24
9 West Ham United 156543723 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 156452119 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 156452018 +2 22
12 Norwich City 157083224 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 156362223 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 154652727 0 18
15 Wrexham 154651820 -2 18
16 Millwall 155372327 -4 18
17 Bristol City 155371624 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 155282029 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 154561323 -10 17
20 Watford 154381323 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 154381526 -11 15
22 Burnley 151772231 -9 10
23 Derby County 152491430 -16 10
24 Preston North End 1522111330 -17 8
  • Southampton
  • Middlesbrough
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Play-offs or qualifying rounds
  • Relegation
Full Championship table

Championship 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 11:14 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

41%Southampton 25%Draw 34%Middlesbrough
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.