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Pachuca vs Toluca

Pachuca host Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 22:50. Our model makes Toluca favourites at 43%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 16 meetings, Pachuca won 7, Toluca won 5 and 4 were drawn.

Mexico Liga MX Save
Pachuca
22:50
21 Nov
Toluca
Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Pachuca vs Toluca preview

Pachuca have scored 1.86 goals a game and conceded 1.86 across their last 7 home games in the Liga MX this season, while Toluca have scored 1.63 and conceded 1.25 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Pachuca's last 7 home games and 5 of Toluca's last 8 away games. Pachuca have won 1 of their last 7 home games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of Pachuca's last 7 home games. Pachuca's last 7 home games have averaged 9.1 corners and Toluca's last 8 away games 11.3. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 09:02 UK.

  • Goals scored Pachuca: 1.86 Toluca: 1.63
  • Goals conceded Pachuca: 1.86 Toluca: 1.25
  • Both teams scored Pachuca: 6 of 786% Toluca: 5 of 863%
  • Over 2.5 goals Pachuca: 6 of 786% Toluca: 4 of 850%
  • Match corners Pachuca: 9.14 Toluca: 11.25
  • Match cards Pachuca: 4.57 Toluca: 4.50

Pachuca's last 7 home games and Toluca's last 8 away games in the Liga MX this season.

Win probabilities

32%Pachuca 26%Draw 43%Toluca

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Pachuca vs Toluca: questions and answers

When is Pachuca vs Toluca?

Pachuca vs Toluca kicks off at 22:50 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Liga MX, at Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto.

Who is the favourite in Pachuca vs Toluca?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Pachuca a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Toluca 43%.

How many goals do Pachuca and Toluca games have?

Pachuca have scored 1.86 goals a game and conceded 1.86 across their last 7 home games in the Liga MX this season, while Toluca have scored 1.63 and conceded 1.25 across their last 8 away games. Both teams have scored in 6 of Pachuca's last 7 home games and 5 of Toluca's last 8 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of Pachuca's last 7 home games.

Where are Pachuca and Toluca in the Liga MX table?

Pachuca are 8th with 22 points from 16 games. Toluca are 4th with 27 points from 16 games.

Pachuca vs Toluca stats

Pachuca1W 3D 3L · 7 home games
Toluca3W 4D 1L · 8 away games
Pachuca vs Toluca general stats: Pachuca's last 7 home games and Toluca's last 8 away games in the Liga MX this season
PachucaStatToluca
Match outcomes
1 of 714% Win 3 of 838%
3 of 743% Draw 4 of 850%
3 of 743% Loss 1 of 813%
6 Points 13
0.86 Points per game 1.63
0 Goal difference 3
Expected goals
2.01 xG per game 1.65
1.86 xGA per game 1.45
-1.05 xG performance -0.23
Possession & attacks
52% Possession 56%
52.86 Dangerous attacks 34.75
34.86 Dangerous attacks against 42.13
Shots
19.29 Shots for 15.00
12.43 Shots against 15.88
6.00 On target for 5.50
4.86 On target against 5.88
10% Shot conversion 11%
31% On-target accuracy 37%
Tackles & fouls
15.86 Tackles 21.38
10.29 Fouls committed 12.88
16.14 Fouls won 13.25
2.14 Offsides 2.25

Pachuca's last 7 home games and Toluca's last 8 away games in the Liga MX this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 09:02 UK.

Pachuca vs Toluca lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Pachuca vs Toluca players

Player rankings

  1. 1 Toluca Helinho 1.67
  2. 2 Pachuca Salomón Rondón 1.65
  3. 3 Pachuca Adrián Alcaraz 1.58
  4. 4 Toluca Paulinho 1.43
  5. 5 Toluca Federico Viñas 1.37

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer
Salomón Rondón in 16 games 16goals
Federico Viñas in 13 games 8goals
Top creator
Oussama Idrissi in 16 games 5assists
Helinho in 15 games 8assists

Players in form

  1. Salomón Rondón Striker · Pachuca 7.47 Form rating
    Apps
    16
    Goals
    16
    Assists
    2
    • xG0.82 per 90 Top 3%
    • NP goals0.74 per 90 Top 4%
    • On target1.65 per 90 Top 5%
  2. Helinho Winger · Toluca 7.47 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    4
    Assists
    8
    • Assists0.70 per 90 Top 2%
    • Key passes3.30 per 90 Top 3%
    • Shots3.56 per 90 Top 5%
  3. Oussama Idrissi Winger · Pachuca 7.35 Form rating
    Apps
    16
    Goals
    3
    Assists
    5
    • Final third6.20 per 90 Top 5%
    • Big chances0.61 per 90 Top 6%
    • Assists0.39 per 90 Top 7%
  4. Alexis Vega Winger · Toluca 7.28 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    2
    • Key passes3.33 per 90 Top 3%
    • xG0.45 per 90 Top 5%
    • Crosses2.17 per 90 Top 5%
  5. Nicolás Castro Defensive midfielder · Toluca 7.16 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    4
    • Key passes1.76 per 90 Top 6%
    • Pass %88% per 90 Top 30%
  6. Eduardo Gabriel dos Santos Bauermann Centre-back · Pachuca 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    15
    Goals
    2
    Assists
    0
    • Interceptions2.22 per 90 Top 4%
    • Ball security5.73 per 90 Top 9%
    • xG0.10 per 90 Top 10%
  7. Federico Viñas Striker · Toluca 7.15 Form rating
    Apps
    13
    Goals
    8
    Assists
    1
    • NP goals0.75 per 90 Top 5%
    • Fouls won2.77 per 90 Top 5%
    • Finishing+0.26 per 90 Top 7%
  8. Carlos Moreno Goalkeeper · Pachuca 7.10 Form rating
    Apps
    16
    Goals
    1
    Assists
    0
    • Recoveries9.49 per 90 Top 19%
    • Saves3.49 per 90 Top 22%
  9. Federico Pereira Centre-back · Toluca 7.07 Form rating
    Apps
    14
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Passes66.61 per 90 Top 10%
    • Tackles2.07 per 90 Top 10%
    • Interceptions1.85 per 90 Top 10%
  10. Andrés Arroyo Attacking midfielder · Pachuca 7.04 Form rating
    Apps
    2
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    0
    • Final third7.98 per 90 Top 12%
    • Shots3.01 per 90 Top 15%
    • Pass %84% per 90 Top 24%
  11. Paulinho Striker · Toluca 7.02 Form rating
    Apps
    10
    Goals
    5
    Assists
    0
    • NP goals0.65 per 90 Top 8%
    • xG0.60 per 90 Top 10%
    • On target1.43 per 90 Top 14%
  12. Carlos Adrián Sánchez Nava Full-back · Pachuca 6.95 Form rating
    Apps
    9
    Goals
    0
    Assists
    2
    • Final third9.57 per 90 Top 5%
    • Dribbles1.05 per 90 Top 13%
    • Assists0.17 per 90 Top 16%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Pachuca vs Toluca form

Pachuca All venues
3 W · 0 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.80
Scored per game
2.2
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
  1. Liga MX A Atlas 4–1 win xG 1.9–1.1
  2. Liga MX H Tigres UANL 3–0 win xG 3.5–0.5
  3. Liga MX A América 2–1 win xG 0.7–2.6
  4. Liga MX H Cruz Azul 1–2 defeat xG 1.2–2.3
  5. Liga MX A Monterrey 1–2 defeat xG 1.0–2.1
Toluca All venues
1 W · 4 D · 0 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
2.0
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Liga MX H Monterrey 4–0 win xG 1.2–0.4
  2. Liga MX A América 2–2 draw xG 2.1–2.2
  3. Liga MX A León 1–1 draw xG 1.5–1.7
  4. Liga MX H Tijuana 2–2 draw xG 2.6–1.5
  5. Liga MX H Atlético San Luis 1–1 draw

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Pachuca vs Toluca head to head

7 Pachuca wins 4 draws 5 Toluca wins
3.4 goals per game 63% both teams scored 69% over 2.5 goals
  1. 21 Nov 2026Liga MX Pachuca 22:50 Toluca
  2. 11 May 2026Liga MX Pachuca 2–0 Toluca
  3. 4 May 2026Liga MX Toluca 0–1 Pachuca
  4. 22 Mar 2026Liga MX Pachuca 1–1 Toluca
  5. 27 Oct 2025Liga MX Toluca 2–2 Pachuca
  6. 29 Mar 2025Liga MX Toluca 3–2 Pachuca
  7. 18 Sep 2024Liga MX Pachuca 2–2 Toluca
  8. 31 Mar 2024Liga MX Pachuca 2–3 Toluca
  9. 3 Sep 2023Liga MX Toluca 5–0 Pachuca
  10. 20 Feb 2023Liga MX Pachuca 1–2 Toluca
  11. 31 Oct 2022Liga MX Pachuca 3–1 Toluca
  12. 28 Oct 2022Liga MX Toluca 1–5 Pachuca
  13. 28 Aug 2022Liga MX Toluca 1–4 Pachuca
  14. 13 Mar 2022Liga MX Toluca 0–3 Pachuca
  15. 14 Sep 2021Liga MX Pachuca 1–2 Toluca
  16. 14 Mar 2021Liga MX Toluca 0–2 Pachuca
  17. 25 Sep 2020Liga MX Pachuca 0–0 Toluca

Pachuca vs Toluca standings

Liga MX table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Cruz Azul 1610243726 +11 32
2 América 168623823 +15 30
3 Guadalajara 168622615 +11 30
4 Toluca 167633521 +14 27
5 Atlas 168352730 -3 27
6 Santos Laguna 168172320 +3 25
7 León 166552321 +2 23
8 Pachuca 166462920 +9 22
9 Tijuana 165742522 +3 22
10 Monterrey 156362625 +1 21
11 Pumas UNAM 165652426 -2 21
12 Querétaro 156271823 -5 20
13 Puebla 165471923 -4 19
14 Atlético San Luis 165471924 -5 19
15 Tigres UANL 163671725 -8 15
16 Atlante 163581626 -10 14
17 Necaxa 163491728 -11 13
18 Juárez 1632111334 -21 11
  • Pachuca
  • Toluca

Liga MX 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 09:02 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Pachuca vs Toluca odds

Best price across 4 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pachuca 2.89Pinnacle Shortened 2%from 2.94 32%
Draw 4.06Pinnacle Drifted 4%from 3.92 26%
Toluca 2.20Betano Shortened 22%from 2.82 43%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pachuca or Draw 1.66Bet365 Drifted 9%from 1.53 57%
Draw or Toluca 1.40Bet365 Shortened 7%from 1.50 68%
Pachuca or Toluca 1.22Bet365 Shortened 2%from 1.25 74%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pachuca 2.10Bet365 Drifted 27%from 1.66 43%
Toluca 1.66Bet365 Shortened 21%from 2.10 57%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.44Betano Drifted 1%from 1.42 56%
BTTS No 2.731xBet Drifted 10%from 2.48 44%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.12Bet365 Shortened 2%from 1.14 75%
Under 1.5 6.00Bet365 Drifted 9%from 5.50 25%
Over 2.5 1.44Bet365 Shortened 4%from 1.50 53%
Under 2.5 2.70Bet365 Drifted 8%from 2.50 47%
Over 3.5 2.15Betano Shortened 1%from 2.18 31%
Under 3.5 1.67Betano No changefrom 1.67 69%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pachuca 3.25Bet365 Drifted 18%from 2.75 –
Draw 2.50Bet365 No changefrom 2.50 –
Toluca 2.62Bet365 Shortened 18%from 3.20 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 12 Nov, 15:16. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

32%Pachuca 26%Draw 43%Toluca
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.