Poland vs Sweden

Poland host Sweden in the Europe UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45. Our model makes Poland favourites at 54%, with a 23% chance of a draw. In their last 4 meetings, Poland won 1, Sweden won 3 and 0 were drawn.

Europe UEFA Nations League Tue 17 Nov 2026, 19:45 Save

Poland

19:45

17 Nov

Sweden

Tarczyński Arena, Poland

Poland vs Sweden preview

Poland have scored 2.00 goals a game and conceded 0.63 across their last 8 home games in all competitions, while Sweden have scored 1.11 and conceded 2.11 across their last 9 away games. Both teams have scored in 4 of Poland's last 8 home games and 6 of Sweden's last 9 away games. Sweden have won 2 of their last 9 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in 2 of Poland's last 8 home games. Poland's last 8 home games have averaged 8.3 corners and Sweden's last 9 away games 7.8. Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:21 UK.

Goals scored Poland: 2.00 Sweden: 1.11
Goals conceded Poland: 0.63 Sweden: 2.11
Both teams scored Poland: 4 of 850% Sweden: 6 of 967%
Over 2.5 goals Poland: 4 of 850% Sweden: 5 of 956%
Match corners Poland: 8.25 Sweden: 7.78
Match cards Poland: 4.25 Sweden: 3.67

Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions.

Win probabilities

54%Poland 23%Draw 23%Sweden

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Poland vs Sweden

Team statsGoals, corners and cards for both teams StandingsPoland 3rd, Sweden 1st LineupsTop players for both teams Head to headResults of the last 4 meetings

Poland vs Sweden: questions and answers

When is Poland vs Sweden?

Poland vs Sweden kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Tuesday 17 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, at Tarczyński Arena, Poland.

Who is the favourite in Poland vs Sweden?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Poland a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sweden 23%.

How many goals do Poland and Sweden games have?

Where are Poland and Sweden in the UEFA Nations League table?

Poland are 3rd in League B Group 4 with 4 points from 4 games. Sweden are 1st in League B Group 4 with 10 points from 4 games.

Poland vs Sweden stats

Last 5 Last 20 Season

Poland5W 2D 1L · 8 home games

Sweden2W 3D 4L · 9 away games

Poland vs Sweden general stats: Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Match outcomes
5 of 863%	Win	2 of 922%
2 of 825%	Draw	3 of 933%
1 of 813%	Loss	4 of 944%
17	Points	9
2.13	Points per game	1.00
11	Goal difference	-9
Expected goals
1.96	xG per game	1.11
0.68	xGA per game	1.34
0.29	xG performance	0.03
Possession & attacks
52%	Possession	48%
56.50	Dangerous attacks	46.67
38.13	Dangerous attacks against	42.44
Shots
18.88	Shots for	10.11
9.13	Shots against	11.00
6.63	On target for	4.00
2.88	On target against	5.33
11%	Shot conversion	11%
35%	On-target accuracy	40%
Tackles & fouls
15.88	Tackles	10.67
13.63	Fouls committed	13.67
13.38	Fouls won	12.89
1.38	Offsides	1.44

Poland vs Sweden goals stats: Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Goals overview
2.63	Goals per game (total)	3.22
16	Goals scored	10
2.00	Scored per game	1.11
5	Goals conceded	19
0.63	Conceded per game	2.11
Outcomes
5 of 863%	Scored first	4 of 944%
1 of 813%	Failed to score	2 of 922%
4 of 850%	Clean sheet	1 of 911%
4 of 850%	BTTS	6 of 967%
3 of 838%	BTTS & over 2.5	4 of 944%
5 of 863%	BTTS or over 2.5	7 of 978%
Total goals
7 of 888%	Over 0.5	9 of 9100%
6 of 875%	Over 1.5	8 of 989%
4 of 850%	Over 2.5	5 of 956%
2 of 825%	Over 3.5	4 of 944%
Goals scored
7 of 888%	Scored 1+	7 of 978%
4 of 850%	Scored 2+	2 of 922%
2 of 825%	Scored 3+	1 of 911%
Goals conceded
4 of 850%	Conceded 1+	8 of 989%
1 of 813%	Conceded 2+	5 of 956%
0 of 80%	Conceded 3+	3 of 933%

Poland vs Sweden halves & timing stats: Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Half-time result
4 of 850%	Winning at HT	3 of 933%
2 of 825%	Drawing at HT	3 of 933%
2 of 825%	Losing at HT	3 of 933%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Poland vs Sweden corners stats: Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Corners per game
8.25	Total corners	7.78
5.75	Corners for	3.67
2.50	Corners against	4.11
5 of 863%	Most corners	4 of 944%
Match corner lines
6 of 875%	Over 7.5	4 of 944%
3 of 838%	Over 8.5	4 of 944%
2 of 825%	Over 9.5	3 of 933%
1 of 813%	Over 10.5	1 of 911%
1 of 813%	Over 11.5	1 of 911%
0 of 80%	Over 12.5	0 of 90%
Corners for lines
5 of 863%	For over 4.5	3 of 933%
4 of 850%	For over 5.5	1 of 911%
3 of 838%	For over 6.5	1 of 911%
2 of 825%	For over 7.5	1 of 911%
Corners against lines
1 of 813%	Against over 4.5	3 of 933%
0 of 80%	Against over 5.5	2 of 922%
0 of 80%	Against over 6.5	2 of 922%
By half
4.63	1H total	3.44
3.38	1H for	1.67
1.25	1H against	1.78
3.63	2H total	4.33
2.38	2H for	2.00
1.25	2H against	2.33

Poland vs Sweden cards stats: Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Cards per game
4.25	Total cards	3.67
1.88	Cards received	2.00
2.38	Opponent cards	1.67
2 of 825%	Most cards	3 of 933%
Match card lines
6 of 875%	Over 2.5	7 of 978%
5 of 863%	Over 3.5	4 of 944%
5 of 863%	Over 4.5	3 of 933%
3 of 838%	Over 5.5	2 of 922%
Cards received lines
8 of 8100%	Received 1+	7 of 978%
6 of 875%	Received 2+	6 of 967%
1 of 813%	Received 3+	3 of 933%
Opponent card lines
7 of 888%	Opponent 1+	6 of 967%
5 of 863%	Opponent 2+	4 of 944%
5 of 863%	Opponent 3+	2 of 922%
By half
1.50	1H total	0.67
0.50	1H received	0.33
3.00	2H total	2.89
1.25	2H received	1.67

Poland vs Sweden other stats: Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Shots & conversion
28.00	Total shots (match)	21.11
9.50	Total on target (match)	9.33
30%	On-target conversion	28%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Poland's last 8 home games and Sweden's last 9 away games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Poland5W 2D 3L · 10 games

Sweden6W 2D 2L · 10 games

Poland vs Sweden general stats: Poland's last 10 games and Sweden's last 10 games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Match outcomes
5 of 1050%	Win	6 of 1060%
2 of 1020%	Draw	2 of 1020%
3 of 1030%	Loss	2 of 1020%
17	Points	20
1.70	Points per game	2.00
8	Goal difference	4
Expected goals
1.65	xG per game	1.38
1.09	xGA per game	1.15
3.47	xG performance	6.22
Possession & attacks
53%	Possession	46%
51.10	Dangerous attacks	42.00
43.50	Dangerous attacks against	45.10
Shots
16.10	Shots for	11.00
8.70	Shots against	11.90
5.60	On target for	4.80
3.20	On target against	4.90
12%	Shot conversion	18%
35%	On-target accuracy	44%
Tackles & fouls
15.60	Tackles	11.10
12.80	Fouls committed	12.70
11.80	Fouls won	10.40
1.50	Offsides	1.40

Poland vs Sweden goals stats: Poland's last 10 games and Sweden's last 10 games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Goals overview
3.20	Goals per game (total)	3.60
20	Goals scored	20
2.00	Scored per game	2.00
12	Goals conceded	16
1.20	Conceded per game	1.60
Outcomes
5 of 1050%	Scored first	7 of 1070%
2 of 1020%	Failed to score	1 of 1010%
3 of 1030%	Clean sheet	1 of 1010%
6 of 1060%	BTTS	8 of 1080%
5 of 1050%	BTTS & over 2.5	6 of 1060%
7 of 1070%	BTTS or over 2.5	9 of 1090%
Total goals
9 of 1090%	Over 0.5	10 of 10100%
8 of 1080%	Over 1.5	9 of 1090%
6 of 1060%	Over 2.5	7 of 1070%
5 of 1050%	Over 3.5	5 of 1050%
Goals scored
8 of 1080%	Scored 1+	9 of 1090%
6 of 1060%	Scored 2+	5 of 1050%
3 of 1030%	Scored 3+	4 of 1040%
Goals conceded
7 of 1070%	Conceded 1+	9 of 1090%
3 of 1030%	Conceded 2+	3 of 1030%
2 of 1020%	Conceded 3+	2 of 1020%

Poland vs Sweden halves & timing stats: Poland's last 10 games and Sweden's last 10 games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Half-time result
4 of 1040%	Winning at HT	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	Drawing at HT	3 of 1030%
2 of 1020%	Losing at HT	2 of 1020%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Poland vs Sweden corners stats: Poland's last 10 games and Sweden's last 10 games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Corners per game
9.10	Total corners	8.00
6.40	Corners for	3.40
2.70	Corners against	4.60
7 of 1070%	Most corners	4 of 1040%
Match corner lines
8 of 1080%	Over 7.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Over 8.5	5 of 1050%
5 of 1050%	Over 9.5	4 of 1040%
3 of 1030%	Over 10.5	2 of 1020%
2 of 1020%	Over 11.5	1 of 1010%
1 of 1010%	Over 12.5	0 of 100%
Corners for lines
7 of 1070%	For over 4.5	2 of 1020%
7 of 1070%	For over 5.5	1 of 1010%
6 of 1060%	For over 6.5	1 of 1010%
5 of 1050%	For over 7.5	1 of 1010%
Corners against lines
0 of 100%	Against over 4.5	4 of 1040%
0 of 100%	Against over 5.5	3 of 1030%
0 of 100%	Against over 6.5	3 of 1030%
By half
4.50	1H total	3.30
3.20	1H for	1.40
1.30	1H against	1.90
4.60	2H total	4.80
3.20	2H for	2.10
1.40	2H against	2.70

Poland vs Sweden cards stats: Poland's last 10 games and Sweden's last 10 games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Cards per game
4.50	Total cards	3.00
2.30	Cards received	1.10
2.20	Opponent cards	1.90
4 of 1040%	Most cards	2 of 1020%
Match card lines
9 of 1090%	Over 2.5	7 of 1070%
8 of 1080%	Over 3.5	4 of 1040%
5 of 1050%	Over 4.5	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Over 5.5	1 of 1010%
Cards received lines
10 of 10100%	Received 1+	6 of 1060%
9 of 1090%	Received 2+	4 of 1040%
4 of 1040%	Received 3+	1 of 1010%
Opponent card lines
9 of 1090%	Opponent 1+	7 of 1070%
7 of 1070%	Opponent 2+	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	Opponent 3+	4 of 1040%
By half
1.90	1H total	0.70
0.90	1H received	0.20
2.80	2H total	2.30
1.40	2H received	0.90

Poland vs Sweden other stats: Poland's last 10 games and Sweden's last 10 games in all competitions
Poland	Stat	Sweden
Shots & conversion
24.80	Total shots (match)	22.90
8.80	Total on target (match)	9.70
36%	On-target conversion	42%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Poland's last 10 games and Sweden's last 10 games in all competitions. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:21 UK.

Poland vs Sweden lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed. Until then, see key players.

Poland vs Sweden players

Player rankings

Per 90 minutes, weighted towards recent games. Goalkeepers left out.

Leading scorers and creators

Top scorer

Robert Lewandowski in 3 caps 3goals

Viktor Gyökeres in 8 caps 5goals

Top creator

Nicola Zalewski in 4 caps 2assists

Alexander Isak in 5 caps 3assists

Players in form

Besfort Zeneli Central midfielder · Sweden 7.44 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
2

Assists
6
- Key passes3.07 per 90 Top 2%
- G+A0.79 per 90 Top 3%
- Big chances0.53 per 90 Top 4%
Jan Bednarek Centre-back · Poland 7.36 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
1

Assists
0
- Interceptions2.34 per 90 Top 4%
- Passes73.06 per 90 Top 5%
- Aerials4.28 per 90 Top 5%
Alexander Bernhardsson Winger · Sweden 7.30 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
4

Assists
3
- Key passes3.09 per 90 Top 4%
- Big chances0.73 per 90 Top 4%
- Assists0.36 per 90 Top 9%
Patrik Wålemark Winger · Sweden 7.23 Form rating

Apps
13

Goals
7

Assists
3
- Shots4.25 per 90 Top 3%
- NP goals0.56 per 90 Top 4%
- xG0.52 per 90 Top 4%
Robert Lewandowski Striker · Poland 7.21 Form rating

Apps
19

Goals
9

Assists
4
- xG0.67 per 90 Top 6%
- Assists0.27 per 90 Top 11%
- xG/shot0.20 per 90 Top 12%
Hampus Skoglund Full-back · Sweden 7.20 Form rating

Apps
27

Goals
0

Assists
3
- Tackles3.47 per 90 Top 3%
- Final third10.17 per 90 Top 4%
- Pass %88% per 90 Top 5%
Mateusz Zukowski Striker · Poland 7.17 Form rating

Apps
10

Goals
6

Assists
0
- On target1.81 per 90 Top 4%
- Finishing+0.19 per 90 Top 7%
- xG0.53 per 90 Top 17%
Benjamin Nygren Attacking midfielder · Sweden 7.17 Form rating

Apps
13

Goals
6

Assists
4
- xG0.44 per 90 Top 5%
- Pass %85% per 90 Top 13%
- Shots2.77 per 90 Top 18%
Eric Smith Central midfielder · Sweden 7.14 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
1

Assists
1
- Passes67.29 per 90 Top 5%
- Final third9.77 per 90 Top 6%
- Interceptions1.67 per 90 Top 9%
Bartosz Slisz Defensive midfielder · Poland 7.13 Form rating

Apps
13

Goals
1

Assists
1
- Interceptions2.45 per 90 Top 3%
- Recoveries6.56 per 90 Top 7%
- Passes63.04 per 90 Top 9%
Jakub Kiwior Centre-back · Poland 7.12 Form rating

Apps
11

Goals
1

Assists
1
- Passes75.01 per 90 Top 4%
- Final third9.46 per 90 Top 6%
- Pass %91% per 90 Top 10%
Marcel Regula Attacking midfielder · Poland 7.09 Form rating

Apps
14

Goals
5

Assists
0
- Duels won7.87 per 90 Top 4%
- Dribbles2.00 per 90 Top 5%
- NP goals0.44 per 90 Top 8%

Form rating weights recent games most; the ring and bars show the percentile against players in the same role. Apps, goals and assists are this club season. For national teams, form comes from club games and the leading scorers and creators count internationals over the last 18 months.

Explore the player data hubRank and compare players on every stat, across every top league

Poland vs Sweden form

Poland All venues

1 W · 2 D · 2 L

Points per game: 1.00
Scored per game: 1.8
Conceded per game: 1.2
Both teams scored: 40%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Sweden All venues

3 W · 1 D · 1 L

Points per game: 2.00
Scored per game: 1.4
Conceded per game: 1.2
Both teams scored: 60%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Poland vs Sweden head to head

1 Poland wins 0 draws 3 Sweden wins

4.0 goals per game 75% both teams scored 75% over 2.5 goals

Poland vs Sweden standings

League B Group 4

UEFA Nations League League B Group 4 table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sweden	4	3	1	0	7	3	+4	10
2	Bosnia and Herzegovina	4	2	2	0	6	3	+3	8
3	Poland	4	1	1	2	7	4	+3	4
4	Romania	4	0	0	4	3	13	-10	0

Poland
Sweden
Promotion or qualification
Play-offs or qualifying rounds
Relegation

UEFA Nations League 2026/2027 standings as of 13 Nov 2026, 17:21 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Poland vs Sweden odds

Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Poland	2.451xBet	Drifted 8%from 2.28	54%
Draw	3.681xBet	Shortened 2%from 3.74	23%
Sweden	2.90Bet365	No changefrom 2.90	23%

Double Chance
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Poland or Draw	1.461xBet	Drifted 6%from 1.38	77%
Draw or Sweden	1.591xBet	Drifted 7%from 1.49	46%
Poland or Sweden	1.311xBet	Drifted 11%from 1.18	78%

Draw No Bet
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Poland	1.73WilliamHill	No changefrom 1.73	70%
Sweden	2.10Bet365	No changefrom 2.10	30%

Both Teams to Score
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
BTTS Yes	1.55WilliamHill	No changefrom 1.55	55%
BTTS No	2.37Bet365	No changefrom 2.38	45%

Total Goals
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Over 1.5	1.201xBet	Drifted 1%from 1.19	80%
Under 1.5	4.50Bet365	No changefrom 4.50	20%
Over 2.5	1.721xBet	Drifted 8%from 1.60	58%
Under 2.5	2.231xBet	Drifted 4%from 2.14	42%
Over 3.5	2.651xBet	Drifted 1%from 2.63	35%
Under 3.5	1.50Bet365	No changefrom 1.50	65%

Half-Time Result
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Poland	2.891xBet	Drifted 5%from 2.75	–
Draw	2.37Bet365	No changefrom 2.37	–
Sweden	3.321xBet	Drifted 10%from 3.01	–

Prices are decimal. Updated 13 Nov, 17:12. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

54%Poland 23%Draw 23%Sweden

Half-time result Pro

Poland
Draw
Sweden

Double chance

Poland or draw 77%
Sweden or draw 46%
Poland or Sweden 77%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Poland/Poland
Poland/Draw
Poland/Sweden
Draw/Poland
Draw/Draw
Draw/Sweden
Sweden/Poland
Sweden/Draw
Sweden/Sweden

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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Poland vs Sweden predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

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Poland vs Sweden preview

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Poland vs Sweden: questions and answers

Poland vs Sweden stats

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Poland vs Sweden players

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Leading scorers and creators

Players in form

Poland vs Sweden form

Poland vs Sweden head to head

Poland vs Sweden standings

League B Group 4

Poland vs Sweden odds

Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Poland goals 0.5 Pro

Poland goals 1.5 Pro

Poland goals 2.5 Pro

Poland goals 3.5 Pro

Sweden goals 0.5 Pro

Sweden goals 1.5 Pro

Sweden goals 2.5 Pro

Sweden goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro