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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig

Real Madrid host RB Leipzig in the Europe Champions League on Wednesday 21 October 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Real Madrid favourites at 66%, with a 17% chance of a draw. In their last 4 meetings, RB Leipzig won 1, Real Madrid won 2 and 1 was drawn.

Europe Champions League Save
Real Madrid
20:00
21 Oct
RB Leipzig
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Win probabilities

66%Real Madrid 17%Draw 18%RB Leipzig

Half-time result Pro

  • Real Madrid
  • Draw
  • RB Leipzig

Double chance

  • Real Madrid or draw 82%
  • RB Leipzig or draw 35%
  • Real Madrid or RB Leipzig 83%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Real Madrid/Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid/Draw
  • Real Madrid/RB Leipzig
  • Draw/Real Madrid
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig/Real Madrid
  • RB Leipzig/Draw
  • RB Leipzig/RB Leipzig
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Form

Real Madrid W L W W W
RB Leipzig W L W L L
Real MadridRB Leipzig
100% Win rate 0%
2.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 4.00
100% Both teams score 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Scored first 0%
3.77 xG for 1.19
2.03 xG against 1.94
15.00 Match corners 6.00

From 1 and 1 matches.

RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid head to head

1 RB Leipzig wins 1 draws 2 Real Madrid wins
2.5 goals per game 50% both teams scored 25% over 2.5 goals
  1. 21 Oct 2026Champions League Real Madrid 20:00 RB Leipzig
  2. 6 Mar 2024Champions League Real Madrid 1–1 RB Leipzig
  3. 13 Feb 2024Champions League RB Leipzig 0–1 Real Madrid
  4. 25 Oct 2022Champions League RB Leipzig 3–2 Real Madrid
  5. 14 Sep 2022Champions League Real Madrid 2–0 RB Leipzig