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Roma vs Real Madrid

Roma host Real Madrid in the Europe Champions League on Wednesday 14 October 2026, kick-off 20:00. Our model makes Real Madrid favourites at 40%, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Europe Champions League Save
Roma
20:00
14 Oct
Real Madrid
Stadio Olimpico, Roma Referee: François Letexier

Win probabilities

38%Roma 23%Draw 40%Real Madrid

Half-time result Pro

  • Roma
  • Draw
  • Real Madrid

Double chance

  • Roma or draw 61%
  • Real Madrid or draw 62%
  • Roma or Real Madrid 78%

Half-time / full-time Pro

  • Roma/Roma
  • Roma/Draw
  • Roma/Real Madrid
  • Draw/Roma
  • Draw/Draw
  • Draw/Real Madrid
  • Real Madrid/Roma
  • Real Madrid/Draw
  • Real Madrid/Real Madrid
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

Roma vs Real Madrid predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Roma vs Real Madrid lineups

Predicted

Roma 3-4-2-1

  • 95 Pierluigi Gollini
  • 23 Gianluca Mancini
  • 5 Evan Ndicka
  • 22 Mario Hermoso
  • 2 Devyne Rensch
  • 15 Marten de Roon
  • 17 Manu Koné
  • 43 Wesley
  • 21 Paulo Dybala
  • 18 Matías Soulé
  • 14 Donyell Malen

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

  • 1 Thibaut Courtois
  • 17 Marc Cucurella
  • 4 Dean Huijsen
  • 22 Antonio Rüdiger
  • 24 Denzel Dumfries
  • 8 Federico Valverde
  • 14 Aurélien Tchouaméni
  • 7 Vinicius Junior
  • 5 Jude Bellingham
  • 15 Arda Güler
  • 10 Kylian Mbappé

Roma vs Real Madrid team news

Roma are without 2 players and Real Madrid are without 5 players.

Roma 2 out

Bryan Cristante Inflammation In The Knee · Missed 1 game Injured
Mile Svilar Broken Finger · Missed 1 game · Out until 9 Nov 2026 Injured

Real Madrid 5 out

Rodrygo Cruciate Ligament Tear · Missed 30 games · Out until 1 Jan 2027 Injured
Éder Militão Muscle Injury · Missed 15 games · Out until 1 Nov 2026 Injured
Ferland Mendy Tendon Rupture · Missed 19 games · Out until 16 Nov 2026 Injured
Ibrahima Konaté Cruciate Ligament Injury · Missed 1 game Injured
Raúl Asencio Fatigue Fracture · Missed 1 game · Out until 1 Jan 2027 Injured

Form

Roma D D W D W
Real Madrid W L W W W
RomaReal Madrid
0% Win rate 100%
1.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
100% Both teams score 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
100% Scored first 100%
0.45 xG for 3.77
1.18 xG against 2.03
4.00 Match corners 15.00

From 1 and 1 matches.