São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama

São Paulo host Vasco da Gama in the Brazil Serie A on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 01:00. Our model makes São Paulo favourites at 47%, with a 26% chance of a draw. In their last 9 meetings, São Paulo won 5, Vasco da Gama won 3 and 1 was drawn.

Brazil Serie A Sun 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 Save

São Paulo

01:00

18 Oct

Vasco da Gama

Estádio Nicolau Alayon, São Paulo Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho

Win probabilities

47%São Paulo 26%Draw 27%Vasco da Gama

Half-time result Pro

São Paulo
Draw
Vasco da Gama

Double chance

São Paulo or draw 74%
Vasco da Gama or draw 53%
São Paulo or Vasco da Gama 74%

Half-time / full-time Pro

São Paulo/São Paulo
São Paulo/Draw
São Paulo/Vasco da Gama
Draw/São Paulo
Draw/Draw
Draw/Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama/São Paulo
Vasco da Gama/Draw
Vasco da Gama/Vasco da Gama

Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama predictionPredicted scores and goal markets from our match simulation

Form

São Paulo W L L W D

Vasco da Gama D W W W W

São PauloVasco da Gama

40% Win rate 60%

0.80 Goals scored 1.80

1.40 Goals conceded 0.60

40% Both teams score 40%

40% Over 2.5 goals 60%

20% Clean sheets 40%

60% Scored first 40%

1.38 xG for 2.04

1.50 xG against 0.78

12.00 Match corners 13.20

From 5 and 5 matches.

São Paulo at home and Vasco da Gama away this season.

60% Win rate 14%

1.60 Goals scored 1.07

0.87 Goals conceded 1.71

60% Both teams score 71%

47% Over 2.5 goals 57%

33% Clean sheets 7%

87% Scored first 29%

1.63 xG for 1.18

1.02 xG against 1.07

12.07 Match corners 9.71

From 15 and 14 matches.