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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Al Ahli vs Al Taawoun 100,000 times. Al Ahli won 68,697 of them (68.7%), the draw came up 17.5% of the time and Al Taawoun won 13.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.9%), and both teams score in 55.6% of simulations.
| Al Ahli win | 68.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.5% |
| Al Taawoun win | 13.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.39 – 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 55.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.1% |
| Al Ahli score first | 67% |
| Al Taawoun score first | 29.4% |
| Al Ahli clean sheet | 38.4% |
| Al Taawoun clean sheet | 9.6% |
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Shabab
1.0–1.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Al-Fayha
3.0–0.8
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Nassr
0.9–2.8
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
NEOM SC
1.7–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Al Faisaly
Al Diraiyah FC
1.3–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Hilal
0.9–3.0
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420635983 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Ahli are favourites. They win 68.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.5% for the draw and 13.9% for Al Taawoun. Including the draw, Al Ahli avoid defeat 86.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.6% of simulations. Al Ahli keep a clean sheet 38.4% of the time and Al Taawoun 9.6%.
The simulations average 3.35 goals: 2.39 for Al Ahli and 0.96 for Al Taawoun. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.7% and over 3.5 goals 43.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.