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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh 100,000 times. Al Fateh won 39,863 of them (39.9%), the draw came up 25% of the time and Al Riyadh won 35.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Al Fateh win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
| Al Fateh win | 39.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Al Riyadh win | 35.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.5% |
| Al Fateh score first | 50.9% |
| Al Riyadh score first | 43.5% |
| Al Fateh clean sheet | 24.9% |
| Al Riyadh clean sheet | 22.4% |
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Shabab
1.0–1.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Al-Fayha
3.0–0.8
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Nassr
0.9–2.8
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
NEOM SC
1.7–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Al Faisaly
Al Diraiyah FC
1.3–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Hilal
0.9–3.0
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Taawoun
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636026 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Fateh are favourites. They win 39.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 35.1% for Al Riyadh. Including the draw, Al Fateh avoid defeat 64.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest Al Fateh win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Al Fateh keep a clean sheet 24.9% of the time and Al Riyadh 22.4%.
The simulations average 2.92 goals: 1.51 for Al Fateh and 1.41 for Al Riyadh. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.6% and over 3.5 goals 33.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.