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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC 100,000 times. Al Diraiyah FC won 46,059 of them (46.1%), the draw came up 25.4% of the time and Al Faisaly won 28.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.7%, while the likeliest Al Diraiyah FC win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations.
| Al Faisaly win | 28.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Al Diraiyah FC win | 46.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.70 |
| Both teams to score | 59.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.3% |
| Al Faisaly score first | 35.4% |
| Al Diraiyah FC score first | 58.5% |
| Al Faisaly clean sheet | 18.6% |
| Al Diraiyah FC clean sheet | 27.7% |
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej
1.6–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Abha
Al Shabab
1.0–1.8
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Al-Qadsiah
Al-Fayha
3.0–0.8
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Al Fateh
Al Riyadh
1.5–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Al Hazm
Al Nassr
0.9–2.8
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Al Ittihad
NEOM SC
1.7–1.3
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Al Ettifaq
Al Hilal
0.9–3.0
xG
74%
Over 2.5
Al Ahli
Al Taawoun
2.4–1.0
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420636033 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Al Diraiyah FC are favourites. They win 46.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.4% for the draw and 28.5% for Al Faisaly. Including the draw, Al Diraiyah FC avoid defeat 71.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Al Diraiyah FC win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.8% of simulations. Al Faisaly keep a clean sheet 18.6% of the time and Al Diraiyah FC 27.7%.
The simulations average 3.00 goals: 1.30 for Al Faisaly and 1.70 for Al Diraiyah FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.5% and over 3.5 goals 35.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.