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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Daejeon Citizen vs Incheon United 100,000 times. Daejeon Citizen won 42,974 of them (43%), the draw came up 28.4% of the time and Incheon United won 28.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.4%, while the likeliest Daejeon Citizen win is 1-0 (10.2%). Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations.
| Daejeon Citizen win | 43% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.4% |
| Incheon United win | 28.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | 51.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.2% |
| Daejeon Citizen score first | 49.5% |
| Incheon United score first | 41% |
| Daejeon Citizen clean sheet | 33.1% |
| Incheon United clean sheet | 24.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420741530 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Daejeon Citizen are favourites. They win 43% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.4% for the draw and 28.6% for Incheon United. Including the draw, Daejeon Citizen avoid defeat 71.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.2%) and 0-0 (9.2%). The likeliest Daejeon Citizen win is 1-0 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations. Daejeon Citizen keep a clean sheet 33.1% of the time and Incheon United 24.5%.
The simulations average 2.54 goals: 1.42 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.12 for Incheon United. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.5% and over 3.5 goals 25.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
