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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated GAIS vs AIK 100,000 times. GAIS won 52,809 of them (52.8%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and AIK won 24%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest GAIS win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations.
| GAIS win | 52.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| AIK win | 24% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.91 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.3% |
| GAIS score first | 58.4% |
| AIK score first | 36.5% |
| GAIS clean sheet | 29.8% |
| AIK clean sheet | 15.2% |
Djurgården
Degerfors
2.5–0.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Malmö FF
Hammarby
1.2–1.9
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Häcken
IFK Göteborg
2.1–1.2
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Västerås SK
Brommapojkarna
1.7–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Elfsborg
Örgryte
2.5–0.8
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Mjällby
Kalmar
1.3–1.2
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sirius
Halmstad
2.4–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543422 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
GAIS are favourites. They win 52.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 24% for AIK. Including the draw, GAIS avoid defeat 76% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest GAIS win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations. GAIS keep a clean sheet 29.8% of the time and AIK 15.2%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 1.91 for GAIS and 1.22 for AIK. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.