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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Mjällby vs Kalmar 100,000 times. Mjällby won 38,334 of them (38.3%), the draw came up 28.6% of the time and Kalmar won 33%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.5%, while the likeliest Mjällby win is 1-0 (9.4%). Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations.
| Mjällby win | 38.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28.6% |
| Kalmar win | 33% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.33 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.4% |
| Mjällby score first | 45.4% |
| Kalmar score first | 45.6% |
| Mjällby clean sheet | 30% |
| Kalmar clean sheet | 26.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543474 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mjällby are favourites. They win 38.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28.6% for the draw and 33% for Kalmar. Including the draw, Mjällby avoid defeat 67% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.4%) and 0-0 (9.1%). The likeliest Mjällby win is 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations. Mjällby keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Kalmar 26.8%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 1.33 for Mjällby and 1.22 for Kalmar. Over 1.5 goals lands 73% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.7% and over 3.5 goals 25.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
