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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Malmö FF vs Hammarby 100,000 times. Hammarby won 52,634 of them (52.6%), the draw came up 23.7% of the time and Malmö FF won 23.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Hammarby win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations.
| Malmö FF win | 23.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.7% |
| Hammarby win | 52.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 1.86 |
| Both teams to score | 58.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.2% |
| Malmö FF score first | 36.3% |
| Hammarby score first | 58.4% |
| Malmö FF clean sheet | 15.9% |
| Hammarby clean sheet | 31.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543496 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hammarby are favourites. They win 52.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.7% for the draw and 23.7% for Malmö FF. Including the draw, Hammarby avoid defeat 76.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Hammarby win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.5% of simulations. Malmö FF keep a clean sheet 15.9% of the time and Hammarby 31.1%.
The simulations average 3.04 goals: 1.18 for Malmö FF and 1.86 for Hammarby. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.4% and over 3.5 goals 36.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
