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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hammarby vs Elfsborg 100,000 times. Hammarby won 71,080 of them (71.1%), the draw came up 17.2% of the time and Elfsborg won 11.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.6%), and both teams score in 49.7% of simulations.
| Hammarby win | 71.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.2% |
| Elfsborg win | 11.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.33 – 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 49.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.4% |
| Hammarby score first | 70% |
| Elfsborg score first | 25.5% |
| Hammarby clean sheet | 44.6% |
| Elfsborg clean sheet | 10.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543431 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hammarby are favourites. They win 71.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.2% for the draw and 11.7% for Elfsborg. Including the draw, Hammarby avoid defeat 88.3% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.7% of simulations. Hammarby keep a clean sheet 44.6% of the time and Elfsborg 10.1%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 2.33 for Hammarby and 0.81 for Elfsborg. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
