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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated IFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF 100,000 times. IFK Göteborg won 40,018 of them (40%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Malmö FF won 32.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest IFK Göteborg win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations.
| IFK Göteborg win | 40% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Malmö FF win | 32.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 58.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| IFK Göteborg score first | 51.2% |
| Malmö FF score first | 41.7% |
| IFK Göteborg clean sheet | 26.3% |
| Malmö FF clean sheet | 22.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543466 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
IFK Göteborg are favourites. They win 40% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 32.8% for Malmö FF. Including the draw, IFK Göteborg avoid defeat 67.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest IFK Göteborg win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.4% of simulations. IFK Göteborg keep a clean sheet 26.3% of the time and Malmö FF 22.4%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.51 for IFK Göteborg and 1.35 for Malmö FF. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.3% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
