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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kalmar vs Sirius 100,000 times. Sirius won 40,382 of them (40.4%), the draw came up 26.7% of the time and Kalmar won 32.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Sirius win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
| Kalmar win | 32.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.7% |
| Sirius win | 40.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.46 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Kalmar score first | 43.9% |
| Sirius score first | 48.8% |
| Kalmar clean sheet | 23.5% |
| Sirius clean sheet | 27.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543455 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sirius are favourites. They win 40.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.7% for the draw and 32.9% for Kalmar. Including the draw, Sirius avoid defeat 67.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Sirius win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Kalmar keep a clean sheet 23.5% of the time and Sirius 27.7%.
The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.30 for Kalmar and 1.46 for Sirius. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.9% and over 3.5 goals 30%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
