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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen Peng City 100,000 times. Shenzhen Peng City won 61,421 of them (61.4%), the draw came up 19.7% of the time and Qingdao Hainiu won 18.9%. The most likely score is 1-2 (9.6%), and both teams score in 59% of simulations.
| Qingdao Hainiu win | 18.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Shenzhen Peng City win | 61.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (9.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.12 – 2.18 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.9% |
| Qingdao Hainiu score first | 32.5% |
| Shenzhen Peng City score first | 63.9% |
| Qingdao Hainiu clean sheet | 11.7% |
| Shenzhen Peng City clean sheet | 33.1% |
Shandong Taishan
Chengdu Rongcheng
2.0–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Henan Songshan Longmen
2.4–1.7
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
2.4–0.8
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Dalian Yingbo
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2.1–0.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao West Coast
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Port
Liaoning Tieren FC
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519263 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shenzhen Peng City are favourites. They win 61.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.7% for the draw and 18.9% for Qingdao Hainiu. Including the draw, Shenzhen Peng City avoid defeat 81.1% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 9.6% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations. Qingdao Hainiu keep a clean sheet 11.7% of the time and Shenzhen Peng City 33.1%.
The simulations average 3.30 goals: 1.12 for Qingdao Hainiu and 2.18 for Shenzhen Peng City. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.7% and over 3.5 goals 41.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.