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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Sarpsborg 08 vs Kristiansund 100,000 times. Sarpsborg 08 won 67,060 of them (67.1%), the draw came up 19.4% of the time and Kristiansund won 13.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.2%), and both teams score in 61% of simulations.
| Sarpsborg 08 win | 67.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.4% |
| Kristiansund win | 13.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.2%) |
| Expected goals | 2.50 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.9% |
| Sarpsborg 08 score first | 66.6% |
| Kristiansund score first | 29.2% |
| Sarpsborg 08 clean sheet | 34.5% |
| Kristiansund clean sheet | 8.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527813 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sarpsborg 08 are favourites. They win 67.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.4% for the draw and 13.6% for Kristiansund. Including the draw, Sarpsborg 08 avoid defeat 86.4% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.2% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-1 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61% of simulations. Sarpsborg 08 keep a clean sheet 34.5% of the time and Kristiansund 8.6%.
The simulations average 3.58 goals: 2.50 for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.08 for Kristiansund. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.9% and over 3.5 goals 47.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
