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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Start vs Lillestrøm 100,000 times. Start won 39,253 of them (39.3%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Lillestrøm won 35.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Start win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 64.8% of simulations.
| Start win | 39.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Lillestrøm win | 35.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.67 – 1.58 |
| Both teams to score | 64.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.8% |
| Start score first | 52.5% |
| Lillestrøm score first | 42.4% |
| Start clean sheet | 20.9% |
| Lillestrøm clean sheet | 19.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527800 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Start are favourites. They win 39.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 35.8% for Lillestrøm. Including the draw, Start avoid defeat 64.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Start win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.8% of simulations. Start keep a clean sheet 20.9% of the time and Lillestrøm 19.3%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 1.67 for Start and 1.58 for Lillestrøm. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.8% and over 3.5 goals 40.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
