We simulated Villarreal vs Napoli 100,000 times. Villarreal won 47,891 of them (47.9%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Napoli won 27.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations.
| Villarreal win | 47.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Napoli win | 27.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.81 – 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 61.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.3% |
| Villarreal score first | 54.8% |
| Napoli score first | 39.9% |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 26.8% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 16.9% |
Sabah
Slavia Praha
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lens
Sporting CP
1.6–1.5
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Galatasaray
FC Barcelona
1.3–3.0
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
Manchester United
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Arsenal
LOSC Lille
2.6–0.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Viking
FC Bayern München
0.9–3.7
xG
83%
Over 2.5
Inter
Club Brugge
2.7–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
PSV
2.2–1.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420676181 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Villarreal are favourites. They win 47.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 27.8% for Napoli. Including the draw, Villarreal avoid defeat 72.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations. Villarreal keep a clean sheet 26.8% of the time and Napoli 16.9%.
The simulations average 3.14 goals: 1.81 for Villarreal and 1.33 for Napoli. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.4% and over 3.5 goals 38.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
