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Pro Patria vs Castellanzese

Pro Patria host Castellanzese in the Italy Serie D: Girone D on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 13:30. Our model makes Pro Patria favourites at 56%, with a 24% chance of a draw.

Italy Serie D: Girone D Save
Pro Patria
13:30
15 Nov
Castellanzese
Stadio Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese preview

Pro Patria have scored 1.00 goals a game and conceded 0.50 across their last 6 home games in the Serie D: Girone D this season, while Castellanzese have scored 2.00 and conceded 1.40 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Pro Patria's last 6 home games and 3 of Castellanzese's last 5 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in none of Castellanzese's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Pro Patria's last 6 home games. Pro Patria's last 6 home games have averaged 6.0 corners and Castellanzese's last 5 away games 0.6. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK.

  • Goals scored Pro Patria: 1.00 Castellanzese: 2.00
  • Goals conceded Pro Patria: 0.50 Castellanzese: 1.40
  • Both teams scored Pro Patria: 2 of 633% Castellanzese: 3 of 560%
  • Over 2.5 goals Pro Patria: 1 of 617% Castellanzese: 3 of 560%
  • Match corners Pro Patria: 6.00 Castellanzese: 0.60
  • Match cards Pro Patria: 2.00 Castellanzese: 0.60

Pro Patria's last 6 home games and Castellanzese's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season.

Win probabilities

56%Pro Patria 24%Draw 20%Castellanzese

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese: questions and answers

When is Pro Patria vs Castellanzese?

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese kicks off at 13:30 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the Serie D: Girone D, at Stadio Carlo Speroni, Busto Arsizio.

Who is the favourite in Pro Patria vs Castellanzese?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Pro Patria a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Castellanzese 20%.

How many goals do Pro Patria and Castellanzese games have?

Pro Patria have scored 1.00 goals a game and conceded 0.50 across their last 6 home games in the Serie D: Girone D this season, while Castellanzese have scored 2.00 and conceded 1.40 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Pro Patria's last 6 home games and 3 of Castellanzese's last 5 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Pro Patria's last 6 home games.

Where are Pro Patria and Castellanzese in the Serie D: Girone D table?

Pro Patria are 3rd with 21 points from 11 games. Castellanzese are 4th with 19 points from 11 games.

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese stats

All competitions , Pro
Pro Patria3W 2D 1L · 6 home games
Castellanzese3W 0D 2L · 5 away games
Pro Patria vs Castellanzese general stats: Pro Patria's last 6 home games and Castellanzese's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pro PatriaStatCastellanzese
Match outcomes
3 of 650% Win 3 of 560%
2 of 633% Draw 0 of 50%
1 of 617% Loss 2 of 540%
11 Points 9
1.83 Points per game 1.80
3 Goal difference 3
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
6.00 xG performance 10.00
Possession & attacks
19% Possession 0%
47.33 Dangerous attacks 15.20
26.17 Dangerous attacks against 12.40
Shots
11.00 Shots for 3.00
4.67 Shots against 1.80
3.50 On target for 1.80
1.33 On target against 1.20
9% Shot conversion 67%
32% On-target accuracy 60%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
6.83 Fouls committed 3.20
6.00 Fouls won 1.60
0.83 Offsides 0.20

Pro Patria's last 6 home games and Castellanzese's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK.

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese form

Pro Patria All venues
1 W · 3 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.20
Scored per game
0.8
Conceded per game
0.8
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. Serie D: Girone D H Pistoiese 0–0 draw
  2. Serie D: Girone D A Pavia 0–1 defeat
  3. Coppa Italia Serie D A Leon 1–1 draw Pens
  4. Serie D: Girone D H Correggese 1–1 draw
  5. Serie D: Girone D A Casatese 2–1 win
Castellanzese All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
1.2
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
  1. Serie D: Girone D H Casatese 0–1 defeat
  2. Serie D: Girone D A Pistoiese 2–4 defeat
  3. Serie D: Girone D H Varesina 1–1 draw
  4. Serie D: Girone D A Correggese 2–0 win
  5. Serie D: Girone D H Arconatese 1–0 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Castellanzese vs Pro Patria head to head

  1. 25 Mar 2027Serie D: Girone D Castellanzese 13:30 Pro Patria
  2. 15 Nov 2026Serie D: Girone D Pro Patria 13:30 Castellanzese

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese standings

Serie D: Girone D table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Pistoiese 11911245 +19 28
2 Lentigione 117311810 +8 24
3 Pro Patria 11632147 +7 21
4 Castellanzese 116141911 +8 19
5 Casatese 116141514 +1 19
6 Pro Sesto 115332311 +12 18
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 11524129 +3 17
8 Solbiatese 1911 114521210 +2 17
9 Crema 114341417 -3 15
10 Città di Varese 113531713 +4 14
11 Sant'Angelo 113441114 -3 13
12 Correggese 113441317 -4 13
13 Pavia 112631010 0 12
14 Varesina 112541416 -2 11
15 Coriano 112361015 -5 9
16 Pontedera 112181127 -16 7
17 Arconatese 111371126 -15 6
18 Oltrepò 11137622 -16 6
  • Pro Patria
  • Castellanzese
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Play-offs or qualifying rounds
  • Relegation

Serie D: Girone D 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Pro Patria vs Castellanzese odds

Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pro Patria 1.68Kambi Group No changefrom 1.68 56%
Draw 3.501xBet Drifted 6%from 3.30 24%
Castellanzese 5.491xBet Drifted 53%from 3.60 20%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pro Patria or Draw 1.12Bet365 No changefrom 1.12 80%
Draw or Castellanzese 2.121xBet Drifted 23%from 1.72 44%
Pro Patria or Castellanzese 1.30WilliamHill Drifted 4%from 1.25 76%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pro Patria 1.28Bet365 Shortened 15%from 1.50 74%
Castellanzese 3.50Bet365 Drifted 40%from 2.50 26%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.921xBet Shortened 3%from 1.97 50%
BTTS No 1.80WilliamHill Drifted 3%from 1.75 50%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.271xBet Shortened 4%from 1.32 73%
Under 1.5 3.141xBet Drifted 8%from 2.92 27%
Over 2.5 2.00Bet365 Drifted 3%from 1.95 49%
Under 2.5 1.80Bet365 Shortened 3%from 1.85 51%
Over 3.5 3.201xBet Shortened 9%from 3.50 27%
Under 3.5 1.261xBet Drifted 2%from 1.24 74%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Pro Patria 2.25Bet365 Shortened 14%from 2.60 –
Draw 2.20Bet365 No changefrom 2.20 –
Castellanzese 6.291xBet Drifted 58%from 3.98 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 15 Nov, 08:09. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

56%Pro Patria 24%Draw 20%Castellanzese
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.