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Varesina vs Pontedera

Varesina host Pontedera in the Italy Serie D: Girone D on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 13:30. Our model makes Pontedera favourites at 38%, with a 28% chance of a draw.

Italy Serie D: Girone D Save
Varesina
13:30
15 Nov
Pontedera
Campo Comunale, Seren del Grappa

Varesina vs Pontedera preview

Varesina have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Serie D: Girone D this season, while Pontedera have scored 1.33 and conceded 2.67 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Varesina's last 5 home games and 4 of Pontedera's last 6 away games. Over 9.5 corners has landed in none of Varesina's last 5 home games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of Pontedera's last 6 away games. Varesina's last 5 home games have averaged 4.6 corners and Pontedera's last 6 away games 7.5. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK.

  • Goals scored Varesina: 1.20 Pontedera: 1.33
  • Goals conceded Varesina: 0.80 Pontedera: 2.67
  • Both teams scored Varesina: 2 of 540% Pontedera: 4 of 667%
  • Over 2.5 goals Varesina: 2 of 540% Pontedera: 5 of 683%
  • Match corners Varesina: 4.60 Pontedera: 7.50
  • Match cards Varesina: 2.00 Pontedera: 2.67

Varesina's last 5 home games and Pontedera's last 6 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season.

Win probabilities

35%Varesina 28%Draw 38%Pontedera

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Varesina vs Pontedera: questions and answers

When is Varesina vs Pontedera?

Varesina vs Pontedera kicks off at 13:30 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the Serie D: Girone D, at Campo Comunale, Seren del Grappa.

Who is the favourite in Varesina vs Pontedera?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Varesina a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Pontedera 38%.

How many goals do Varesina and Pontedera games have?

Varesina have scored 1.20 goals a game and conceded 0.80 across their last 5 home games in the Serie D: Girone D this season, while Pontedera have scored 1.33 and conceded 2.67 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 2 of Varesina's last 5 home games and 4 of Pontedera's last 6 away games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 5 of Pontedera's last 6 away games.

Where are Varesina and Pontedera in the Serie D: Girone D table?

Varesina are 14th with 11 points from 11 games. Pontedera are 16th with 7 points from 11 games.

Varesina vs Pontedera stats

All competitions , Pro
Varesina2W 2D 1L · 5 home games
Pontedera2W 0D 4L · 6 away games
Varesina vs Pontedera general stats: Varesina's last 5 home games and Pontedera's last 6 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
VaresinaStatPontedera
Match outcomes
2 of 540% Win 2 of 633%
2 of 540% Draw 0 of 60%
1 of 520% Loss 4 of 667%
8 Points 6
1.60 Points per game 1.00
2 Goal difference -8
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
6.00 xG performance 8.00
Possession & attacks
29% Possession 21%
34.80 Dangerous attacks 33.33
32.80 Dangerous attacks against 47.17
Shots
6.00 Shots for 4.00
8.40 Shots against 9.17
1.80 On target for 1.50
2.00 On target against 3.83
20% Shot conversion 33%
30% On-target accuracy 38%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
5.00 Fouls committed 5.33
5.40 Fouls won 6.33
0.60 Offsides 0.83

Varesina's last 5 home games and Pontedera's last 6 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK.

Varesina vs Pontedera lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Varesina vs Pontedera form

Varesina All venues
1 W · 3 D · 1 L
Points per game
1.20
Scored per game
1.4
Conceded per game
1.2
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Serie D: Girone D A Coriano 1–2 defeat
  2. Serie D: Girone D H Città di Varese 3–1 win
  3. Serie D: Girone D A Castellanzese 1–1 draw
  4. Serie D: Girone D H Pro Sesto 0–0 draw
  5. Serie D: Girone D A Pavia 2–2 draw
Pontedera All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
1.6
Conceded per game
2.0
Both teams scored
80%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
  1. Serie D: Girone D H Solbiatese 1911 0–1 defeat
  2. Serie D: Girone D A Arconatese 4–3 win
  3. Serie D: Girone D H Oltrepò 1–1 draw
  4. Serie D: Girone D A Crema 1–4 defeat
  5. Serie D: Girone D A Coriano 2–1 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Pontedera vs Varesina head to head

  1. 25 Mar 2027Serie D: Girone D Pontedera 13:30 Varesina
  2. 15 Nov 2026Serie D: Girone D Varesina 13:30 Pontedera

Varesina vs Pontedera standings

Serie D: Girone D table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Pistoiese 11911245 +19 28
2 Lentigione 117311810 +8 24
3 Pro Patria 11632147 +7 21
4 Castellanzese 116141911 +8 19
5 Casatese 116141514 +1 19
6 Pro Sesto 115332311 +12 18
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 11524129 +3 17
8 Solbiatese 1911 114521210 +2 17
9 Crema 114341417 -3 15
10 Città di Varese 113531713 +4 14
11 Sant'Angelo 113441114 -3 13
12 Correggese 113441317 -4 13
13 Pavia 112631010 0 12
14 Varesina 112541416 -2 11
15 Coriano 112361015 -5 9
16 Pontedera 112181127 -16 7
17 Arconatese 111371126 -15 6
18 Oltrepò 11137622 -16 6
  • Varesina
  • Pontedera
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Play-offs or qualifying rounds
  • Relegation

Serie D: Girone D 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Varesina vs Pontedera odds

Best price across 5 bookmakers, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Varesina 1.75Pinnacle Drifted 1%from 1.74 35%
Draw 3.50Bet365 Drifted 3%from 3.40 28%
Pontedera 4.10Bet365 Drifted 21%from 3.40 38%
Double Chance
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Varesina or Draw 1.20WilliamHill No changefrom 1.20 62%
Draw or Pontedera 1.95Bet365 Drifted 3%from 1.90 65%
Varesina or Pontedera 1.29WilliamHill No changefrom 1.29 72%
Draw No Bet
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Varesina 1.30Bet365 Shortened 13%from 1.50 48%
Pontedera 3.40Bet365 Drifted 36%from 2.50 52%
Both Teams to Score
Selection Best price Since opening Model
BTTS Yes 1.73WilliamHill No changefrom 1.73 55%
BTTS No 1.981xBet Shortened 2%from 2.02 45%
Total Goals
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Over 1.5 1.231xBet Drifted 1%from 1.22 74%
Under 1.5 3.50Kambi Group No changefrom 3.50 26%
Over 2.5 1.82Pinnacle No changefrom 1.82 50%
Under 2.5 2.00Bet365 Drifted 11%from 1.80 51%
Over 3.5 2.881xBet Drifted 8%from 2.66 28%
Under 3.5 1.34Kambi Group No changefrom 1.34 72%
Half-Time Result
Selection Best price Since opening Model
Varesina 2.311xBet Shortened 14%from 2.67 –
Draw 2.25Bet365 Drifted 2%from 2.20 –
Pontedera 4.761xBet Drifted 16%from 4.10 –

Prices are decimal. Updated 15 Nov, 07:42. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

35%Varesina 28%Draw 38%Pontedera
Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.