Pavia vs Pro Sesto

Pavia host Pro Sesto in the Italy Serie D: Girone D on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 13:30. Our model makes Pro Sesto favourites at 49%, with a 27% chance of a draw.

Italy Serie D: Girone D Sun 15 Nov 2026, 13:30 Save

Pavia

13:30

15 Nov

Pro Sesto

Stadio Pietro Fortunati, Pavia

Pavia vs Pro Sesto preview

Pavia have scored 1.17 goals a game and conceded 0.67 across their last 6 home games in the Serie D: Girone D this season, while Pro Sesto have scored 1.20 and conceded 0.40 across their last 5 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Pavia's last 6 home games and 1 of Pro Sesto's last 5 away games. Over 3.5 cards has landed in 5 of Pavia's last 6 home games. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 1 of Pro Sesto's last 5 away games. Pavia's last 6 home games have averaged 6.5 corners and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games 8.2. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK.

Goals scored Pavia: 1.17 Pro Sesto: 1.20
Goals conceded Pavia: 0.67 Pro Sesto: 0.40
Both teams scored Pavia: 3 of 650% Pro Sesto: 1 of 520%
Over 2.5 goals Pavia: 2 of 633% Pro Sesto: 1 of 520%
Match corners Pavia: 6.50 Pro Sesto: 8.20
Match cards Pavia: 4.50 Pro Sesto: 2.00

Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season.

Win probabilities

24%Pavia 27%Draw 49%Pro Sesto

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

More on Pavia vs Pro Sesto

Team statsGoals, corners and cards for both teams StandingsPavia 13th, Pro Sesto 6th LineupsTop players for both teams Head to headPrevious meetings

Pavia vs Pro Sesto: questions and answers

When is Pavia vs Pro Sesto?

Pavia vs Pro Sesto kicks off at 13:30 UK time on Sunday 15 November 2026 in the Serie D: Girone D, at Stadio Pietro Fortunati, Pavia.

Who is the favourite in Pavia vs Pro Sesto?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Pavia a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pro Sesto 49%.

How many goals do Pavia and Pro Sesto games have?

Where are Pavia and Pro Sesto in the Serie D: Girone D table?

Pavia are 13th with 12 points from 11 games. Pro Sesto are 6th with 18 points from 11 games.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto stats

Last 5 Last 20 Season

All competitions

Pavia2W 4D 0L · 6 home games

Pro Sesto2W 2D 1L · 5 away games

Pavia vs Pro Sesto general stats: Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Match outcomes
2 of 633%	Win	2 of 540%
4 of 667%	Draw	2 of 540%
0 of 60%	Loss	1 of 520%
10	Points	8
1.67	Points per game	1.60
3	Goal difference	4
Expected goals
0.00	xG per game	0.00
0.00	xGA per game	0.00
7.00	xG performance	6.00
Possession & attacks
27%	Possession	41%
47.83	Dangerous attacks	36.20
42.17	Dangerous attacks against	38.20
Shots
7.67	Shots for	8.60
6.17	Shots against	8.00
3.00	On target for	1.80
1.50	On target against	2.60
15%	Shot conversion	14%
39%	On-target accuracy	21%
Tackles & fouls
0.00	Tackles	0.00
1.83	Fouls committed	6.60
3.00	Fouls won	4.00
0.83	Offsides	0.60

Pavia vs Pro Sesto goals stats: Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Goals overview
1.83	Goals per game (total)	1.60
7	Goals scored	6
1.17	Scored per game	1.20
4	Goals conceded	2
0.67	Conceded per game	0.40
Outcomes
2 of 633%	Scored first	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Failed to score	2 of 540%
3 of 650%	Clean sheet	3 of 560%
3 of 650%	BTTS	1 of 520%
2 of 633%	BTTS & over 2.5	0 of 50%
3 of 650%	BTTS or over 2.5	2 of 540%
Total goals
4 of 667%	Over 0.5	4 of 580%
3 of 650%	Over 1.5	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Over 2.5	1 of 520%
2 of 633%	Over 3.5	0 of 50%
Goals scored
4 of 667%	Scored 1+	3 of 560%
2 of 633%	Scored 2+	2 of 540%
1 of 617%	Scored 3+	1 of 520%
Goals conceded
3 of 650%	Conceded 1+	2 of 540%
1 of 617%	Conceded 2+	0 of 50%
0 of 60%	Conceded 3+	0 of 50%

Pavia vs Pro Sesto halves & timing stats: Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Half-time result
2 of 633%	Winning at HT	2 of 540%
3 of 650%	Drawing at HT	3 of 560%
1 of 617%	Losing at HT	0 of 50%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto corners stats: Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Corners per game
6.50	Total corners	8.20
4.33	Corners for	2.60
2.17	Corners against	5.60
5 of 683%	Most corners	0 of 50%
Match corner lines
2 of 633%	Over 7.5	4 of 580%
2 of 633%	Over 8.5	2 of 540%
2 of 633%	Over 9.5	2 of 540%
0 of 60%	Over 10.5	2 of 540%
0 of 60%	Over 11.5	2 of 540%
0 of 60%	Over 12.5	1 of 520%
Corners for lines
3 of 650%	For over 4.5	1 of 520%
3 of 650%	For over 5.5	1 of 520%
0 of 60%	For over 6.5	0 of 50%
0 of 60%	For over 7.5	0 of 50%
Corners against lines
0 of 60%	Against over 4.5	3 of 560%
0 of 60%	Against over 5.5	3 of 560%
0 of 60%	Against over 6.5	2 of 540%
By half
2.83	1H total	3.80
2.00	1H for	0.80
0.83	1H against	3.00
2.00	2H total	4.40
1.33	2H for	1.80
0.67	2H against	2.60

Pavia vs Pro Sesto cards stats: Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Cards per game
4.50	Total cards	2.00
2.33	Cards received	1.00
2.17	Opponent cards	1.00
2 of 633%	Most cards	2 of 540%
Match card lines
5 of 683%	Over 2.5	2 of 540%
5 of 683%	Over 3.5	1 of 520%
5 of 683%	Over 4.5	0 of 50%
2 of 633%	Over 5.5	0 of 50%
Cards received lines
5 of 683%	Received 1+	2 of 540%
5 of 683%	Received 2+	2 of 540%
3 of 650%	Received 3+	1 of 520%
Opponent card lines
5 of 683%	Opponent 1+	4 of 580%
4 of 667%	Opponent 2+	1 of 520%
3 of 650%	Opponent 3+	0 of 50%
By half
0.67	1H total	0.60
0.17	1H received	0.00
3.50	2H total	1.40
2.17	2H received	1.00

Pavia vs Pro Sesto other stats: Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Shots & conversion
13.83	Total shots (match)	16.60
4.50	Total on target (match)	4.40
39%	On-target conversion	67%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Pavia's last 6 home games and Pro Sesto's last 5 away games in the Serie D: Girone D this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Pavia2W 5D 3L · 10 games

Pro Sesto5W 3D 2L · 10 games

Pavia vs Pro Sesto general stats: Pavia's last 10 games and Pro Sesto's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Match outcomes
2 of 1020%	Win	5 of 1050%
5 of 1050%	Draw	3 of 1030%
3 of 1030%	Loss	2 of 1020%
11	Points	18
1.10	Points per game	1.80
0	Goal difference	13
Expected goals
0.00	xG per game	0.00
0.00	xGA per game	0.00
10.00	xG performance	21.00
Possession & attacks
31%	Possession	36%
31.30	Dangerous attacks	32.90
32.60	Dangerous attacks against	35.70
Shots
6.80	Shots for	8.50
7.50	Shots against	8.50
3.20	On target for	2.80
2.80	On target against	3.40
15%	Shot conversion	25%
47%	On-target accuracy	33%
Tackles & fouls
0.00	Tackles	0.00
1.10	Fouls committed	5.20
1.80	Fouls won	3.10
0.50	Offsides	0.70

Pavia vs Pro Sesto goals stats: Pavia's last 10 games and Pro Sesto's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Goals overview
2.00	Goals per game (total)	2.90
10	Goals scored	21
1.00	Scored per game	2.10
10	Goals conceded	8
1.00	Conceded per game	0.80
Outcomes
3 of 1030%	Scored first	7 of 1070%
3 of 1030%	Failed to score	2 of 1020%
3 of 1030%	Clean sheet	4 of 1040%
6 of 1060%	BTTS	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	BTTS & over 2.5	3 of 1030%
6 of 1060%	BTTS or over 2.5	7 of 1070%
Total goals
8 of 1080%	Over 0.5	9 of 1090%
6 of 1060%	Over 1.5	8 of 1080%
4 of 1040%	Over 2.5	5 of 1050%
2 of 1020%	Over 3.5	2 of 1020%
Goals scored
7 of 1070%	Scored 1+	8 of 1080%
2 of 1020%	Scored 2+	5 of 1050%
1 of 1010%	Scored 3+	4 of 1040%
Goals conceded
7 of 1070%	Conceded 1+	6 of 1060%
3 of 1030%	Conceded 2+	2 of 1020%
0 of 100%	Conceded 3+	0 of 100%

Pavia vs Pro Sesto halves & timing stats: Pavia's last 10 games and Pro Sesto's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Half-time result
3 of 1030%	Winning at HT	5 of 1050%
4 of 1040%	Drawing at HT	4 of 1040%
3 of 1030%	Losing at HT	1 of 1010%

29 more halves & timing stats with ProHalf-time results, goals by half, first and second-half lines, goal timing and late goals for both teams.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto corners stats: Pavia's last 10 games and Pro Sesto's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Corners per game
6.10	Total corners	7.70
3.60	Corners for	3.20
2.50	Corners against	4.50
5 of 1050%	Most corners	3 of 1030%
Match corner lines
5 of 1050%	Over 7.5	6 of 1060%
5 of 1050%	Over 8.5	4 of 1040%
4 of 1040%	Over 9.5	4 of 1040%
0 of 100%	Over 10.5	4 of 1040%
0 of 100%	Over 11.5	3 of 1030%
0 of 100%	Over 12.5	2 of 1020%
Corners for lines
4 of 1040%	For over 4.5	3 of 1030%
4 of 1040%	For over 5.5	3 of 1030%
0 of 100%	For over 6.5	1 of 1010%
0 of 100%	For over 7.5	1 of 1010%
Corners against lines
2 of 1020%	Against over 4.5	5 of 1050%
1 of 1010%	Against over 5.5	4 of 1040%
0 of 100%	Against over 6.5	3 of 1030%
By half
3.20	1H total	3.40
2.00	1H for	1.10
1.20	1H against	2.30
1.90	2H total	4.30
1.00	2H for	2.10
0.90	2H against	2.20

Pavia vs Pro Sesto cards stats: Pavia's last 10 games and Pro Sesto's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Cards per game
3.40	Total cards	2.50
1.70	Cards received	1.10
1.70	Opponent cards	1.40
2 of 1020%	Most cards	2 of 1020%
Match card lines
6 of 1060%	Over 2.5	6 of 1060%
6 of 1060%	Over 3.5	4 of 1040%
5 of 1050%	Over 4.5	0 of 100%
2 of 1020%	Over 5.5	0 of 100%
Cards received lines
7 of 1070%	Received 1+	6 of 1060%
6 of 1060%	Received 2+	4 of 1040%
3 of 1030%	Received 3+	1 of 1010%
Opponent card lines
7 of 1070%	Opponent 1+	8 of 1080%
5 of 1050%	Opponent 2+	5 of 1050%
3 of 1030%	Opponent 3+	1 of 1010%
By half
0.60	1H total	1.10
0.20	1H received	0.30
3.20	2H total	1.60
1.70	2H received	0.90

Pavia vs Pro Sesto other stats: Pavia's last 10 games and Pro Sesto's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season
Pavia	Stat	Pro Sesto
Shots & conversion
14.30	Total shots (match)	17.00
6.00	Total on target (match)	6.20
31%	On-target conversion	75%

11 more other stats with ProShot conversion, attacks, set pieces and which side usually has more shots and xG.

Pavia's last 10 games and Pro Sesto's last 10 games in the Serie D: Girone D this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto form

Pavia All venues

2 W · 1 D · 2 L

Points per game: 1.40
Scored per game: 1.4
Conceded per game: 1.2
Both teams scored: 60%
Over 2.5 goals: 60%

Pro Sesto All venues

1 W · 2 D · 2 L

Points per game: 1.00
Scored per game: 1.2
Conceded per game: 1.2
Both teams scored: 60%
Over 2.5 goals: 40%

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto head to head

Pavia vs Pro Sesto standings

Serie D: Girone D table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	11	9	1	1	24	5	+19	28
2	Lentigione	11	7	3	1	18	10	+8	24
3	Pro Patria	11	6	3	2	14	7	+7	21
4	Castellanzese	11	6	1	4	19	11	+8	19
5	Casatese	11	6	1	4	15	14	+1	19
6	Pro Sesto	11	5	3	3	23	11	+12	18
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	11	5	2	4	12	9	+3	17
8	Solbiatese 1911	11	4	5	2	12	10	+2	17
9	Crema	11	4	3	4	14	17	-3	15
10	Città di Varese	11	3	5	3	17	13	+4	14
11	Sant'Angelo	11	3	4	4	11	14	-3	13
12	Correggese	11	3	4	4	13	17	-4	13
13	Pavia	11	2	6	3	10	10	0	12
14	Varesina	11	2	5	4	14	16	-2	11
15	Coriano	11	2	3	6	10	15	-5	9
16	Pontedera	11	2	1	8	11	27	-16	7
17	Arconatese	11	1	3	7	11	26	-15	6
18	Oltrepò	11	1	3	7	6	22	-16	6

Serie D: Girone D home table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	6	6	0	0	16	2	+14	18
2	Pro Patria	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11
3	Pro Sesto	6	3	1	2	17	9	+8	10
4	Castellanzese	6	3	1	2	9	4	+5	10
5	Pavia	6	2	4	0	7	4	+3	10
6	Lentigione	5	3	1	1	6	3	+3	10
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	6	3	1	2	5	4	+1	10
8	Crema	5	3	0	2	10	10	0	9
9	Casatese	6	3	0	3	9	10	-1	9
10		5	2	2	1	9	7	+2	8
11	Varesina	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
12	Correggese	6	2	2	2	8	10	-2	8
13	Città di Varese	5	1	3	1	5	5	0	6
14	Sant'Angelo	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
15	Coriano	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2	5
16	Oltrepò	5	0	2	3	2	7	-5	2
17	Arconatese	5	0	2	3	6	14	-8	2
18	Pontedera	5	0	1	4	3	11	-8	1

Serie D: Girone D away table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lentigione	6	4	2	0	12	7	+5	14
2	Pistoiese	5	3	1	1	8	3	+5	10
3	Pro Patria	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
4	Casatese	5	3	1	1	6	4	+2	10
5	Castellanzese	5	3	0	2	10	7	+3	9
6		6	2	3	1	3	3	0	9
7	Città di Varese	6	2	2	2	12	8	+4	8
8	Pro Sesto	5	2	2	1	6	2	+4	8
9	Sant'Angelo	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8
10	Cittadella Vis Modena	5	2	1	2	7	5	+2	7
11	Crema	6	1	3	2	4	7	-3	6
12	Pontedera	6	2	0	4	8	16	-8	6
13	Correggese	5	1	2	2	5	7	-2	5
14	Coriano	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
15	Arconatese	6	1	1	4	5	12	-7	4
16	Oltrepò	6	1	1	4	4	15	-11	4
17	Varesina	6	0	3	3	8	12	-4	3
18	Pavia	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2

Pavia
Pro Sesto
Promotion or qualification
Play-offs or qualifying rounds
Relegation

Serie D: Girone D 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 11:35 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto odds

Best price across 1 bookmaker, how it has moved since it opened, and our model's chance for each selection.

Match Result
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Pavia	2.551xBet	Shortened 4%from 2.65	24%
Draw	3.081xBet	Drifted 1%from 3.05	27%
Pro Sesto	2.471xBet	Shortened 3%from 2.55	49%

Double Chance
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Pavia or Draw	1.401xBet	No changefrom 1.40	51%
Draw or Pro Sesto	1.381xBet	No changefrom 1.38	76%
Pavia or Pro Sesto	1.261xBet	Shortened 2%from 1.28	73%

Both Teams to Score
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
BTTS Yes	1.731xBet	Shortened 4%from 1.80	47%
BTTS No	1.951xBet	Shortened 4%from 2.02	53%

Total Goals
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Over 1.5	1.281xBet	Shortened 2%from 1.30	67%
Under 1.5	3.081xBet	Drifted 3%from 3.00	33%
Over 2.5	1.951xBet	Shortened 1%from 1.97	41%
Under 2.5	1.731xBet	Shortened 1%from 1.74	59%
Over 3.5	3.341xBet	Drifted 1%from 3.30	21%
Under 3.5	1.241xBet	Shortened 2%from 1.27	79%

Half-Time Result
Selection	Best price	Since opening	Model
Pavia	3.301xBet	No changefrom 3.30	–
Draw	1.991xBet	No changefrom 1.99	–
Pro Sesto	3.151xBet	No changefrom 3.15	–

Prices are decimal. Updated 15 Nov, 02:55. Gamble responsibly, 18+.

Win probabilities

24%Pavia 27%Draw 49%Pro Sesto

Half-time result Pro

Pavia
Draw
Pro Sesto

Double chance

Pavia or draw 51%
Pro Sesto or draw 76%
Pavia or Pro Sesto 73%

Half-time / full-time Pro

Pavia/Pavia
Pavia/Draw
Pavia/Pro Sesto
Draw/Pavia
Draw/Draw
Draw/Pro Sesto
Pro Sesto/Pavia
Pro Sesto/Draw
Pro Sesto/Pro Sesto

Unlock every model market, including correct scores, half-time/full-time, team goals and corners, with Pro

From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.

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Match info

Venue: Stadio Pietro Fortunati, Pavia Capacity 3,999 · Grass
Forecast: 9°C, overcast clouds Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 66%
Managers: Pablo Granoche Pavia Matteo Contini Pro Sesto

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Pavia vs Pro Sesto preview

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More on Pavia vs Pro Sesto

Pavia vs Pro Sesto: questions and answers

Pavia vs Pro Sesto stats

Pavia vs Pro Sesto lineups

Pavia vs Pro Sesto form

Pavia vs Pro Sesto head to head

Pavia vs Pro Sesto standings

Pavia vs Pro Sesto odds

Win probabilities

Half-time result Pro

Double chance

Half-time / full-time Pro

Both teams to score

First to score Pro

Goals 0.5 Pro

Goals 1.5

Goals 2.5

Goals 3.5

Goals 4.5 Pro

First-half goal Pro

Pavia goals 0.5 Pro

Pavia goals 1.5 Pro

Pavia goals 2.5 Pro

Pavia goals 3.5 Pro

Pro Sesto goals 0.5 Pro

Pro Sesto goals 1.5 Pro

Pro Sesto goals 2.5 Pro

Pro Sesto goals 3.5 Pro

Corners 4 Pro

Corners 5 Pro

Corners 6 Pro

Corners 7 Pro

Corners 8 Pro

Corners 9 Pro

Corners 10 Pro

Corners 11 Pro

Corners 10.5 Pro

Most likely scores Pro