Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
Push Notifications Now Live for Pro Users!
30 Oct 2026
Ahead of the weekend, I am delighted to announce that Pro users can now enable native push notifications using the OddAlerts app. What's mo…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Arsenal vs Hull City 100,000 times. Arsenal won 80,333 of them (80.3%), the draw came up 13.6% of the time and Hull City won 6.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (14.4%), and both teams score in 38.8% of simulations.
| Arsenal win | 80.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.6% |
| Hull City win | 6.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (14.4%) |
| Expected goals | 2.56 – 0.55 |
| Both teams to score | 38.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.8% |
| Arsenal score first | 79.2% |
| Hull City score first | 16.1% |
| Arsenal clean sheet | 57.8% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 8.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665837 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Arsenal are favourites. They win 80.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 13.6% for the draw and 6.1% for Hull City. Including the draw, Arsenal avoid defeat 93.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 14.4% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (12.2%) and 1-0 (11.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 38.8% of simulations. Arsenal keep a clean sheet 57.8% of the time and Hull City 8.1%.
The simulations average 3.11 goals: 2.56 for Arsenal and 0.55 for Hull City. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.8% and over 3.5 goals 37.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
