Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
Push Notifications Now Live for Pro Users!
30 Oct 2026
Ahead of the weekend, I am delighted to announce that Pro users can now enable native push notifications using the OddAlerts app. What's mo…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Newcastle United vs Everton 100,000 times. Newcastle United won 42,958 of them (43%), the draw came up 27.6% of the time and Everton won 29.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Newcastle United win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 58.2% of simulations.
| Newcastle United win | 43% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.6% |
| Everton win | 29.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | 58.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Newcastle United score first | 51.6% |
| Everton score first | 40.8% |
| Newcastle United clean sheet | 28.3% |
| Everton clean sheet | 21% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665853 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Newcastle United are favourites. They win 43% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.6% for the draw and 29.5% for Everton. Including the draw, Newcastle United avoid defeat 70.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.2% of simulations. Newcastle United keep a clean sheet 28.3% of the time and Everton 21%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.58 for Newcastle United and 1.28 for Everton. Over 1.5 goals lands 79% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.3% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
