Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
Push Notifications Now Live for Pro Users!
30 Oct 2026
Ahead of the weekend, I am delighted to announce that Pro users can now enable native push notifications using the OddAlerts app. What's mo…
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City 100,000 times. Manchester City won 51,642 of them (51.6%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Nottingham Forest won 23.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Manchester City win is 0-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations.
| Nottingham Forest win | 23.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Manchester City win | 51.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.08 – 1.73 |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.2% |
| Nottingham Forest score first | 42.7% |
| Manchester City score first | 50.1% |
| Nottingham Forest clean sheet | 18.1% |
| Manchester City clean sheet | 34.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420665831 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Manchester City are favourites. They win 51.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 23.2% for Nottingham Forest. Including the draw, Manchester City avoid defeat 76.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 0-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.6% of simulations. Nottingham Forest keep a clean sheet 18.1% of the time and Manchester City 34.2%.
The simulations average 2.81 goals: 1.08 for Nottingham Forest and 1.73 for Manchester City. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.2% and over 3.5 goals 31.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
