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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren FC 100,000 times. Liaoning Tieren FC won 75,061 of them (75.1%), the draw came up 15.3% of the time and Qingdao Hainiu won 9.6%. The most likely score is 0-2 (11%), and both teams score in 51.4% of simulations.
Full time 0-4. Before kick-off the simulations had Liaoning Tieren FC winning 75.1% and gave this exact score 6.2%.
| Qingdao Hainiu win | 9.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.3% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC win | 75.1% |
| Most likely score | 0-2 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 0.82 – 2.60 |
| Both teams to score | 51.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.4% |
| Qingdao Hainiu score first | 26.1% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC score first | 70.2% |
| Qingdao Hainiu clean sheet | 7.8% |
| Liaoning Tieren FC clean sheet | 44.3% |
Shandong Taishan
Chengdu Rongcheng
1.9–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Qingdao Hainiu
Shenzhen Peng City
1.1–2.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Henan Songshan Longmen
2.4–1.7
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Dalian Yingbo
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2.1–0.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao West Coast
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Port
Liaoning Tieren FC
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519283 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Liaoning Tieren FC are favourites. They win 75.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.3% for the draw and 9.6% for Qingdao Hainiu. Including the draw, Liaoning Tieren FC avoid defeat 90.4% of the time.
0-2, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 0-3 (9.5%) and 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.4% of simulations. Qingdao Hainiu keep a clean sheet 7.8% of the time and Liaoning Tieren FC 44.3%.
The simulations average 3.42 goals: 0.82 for Qingdao Hainiu and 2.60 for Liaoning Tieren FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66% and over 3.5 goals 44.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.