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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Shandong Taishan vs Zhejiang 100,000 times. Shandong Taishan won 59,926 of them (59.9%), the draw came up 18.4% of the time and Zhejiang won 21.6%. The most likely score is 2-1 (6.8%), and both teams score in 78.9% of simulations.
Full time 5-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Shandong Taishan winning 59.9%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Shandong Taishan win | 59.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Zhejiang win | 21.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (6.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.91 – 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 78.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Shandong Taishan score first | 62.3% |
| Zhejiang score first | 35.7% |
| Shandong Taishan clean sheet | 17.2% |
| Zhejiang clean sheet | 5.8% |
Shandong Taishan
Chengdu Rongcheng
1.9–1.6
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Qingdao Hainiu
Shenzhen Peng City
1.1–2.2
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Zhejiang
Henan Songshan Longmen
2.4–1.7
xG
77%
Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
2.8–1.6
xG
80%
Over 2.5
Dalian Yingbo
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2.1–0.7
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao West Coast
2.4–1.1
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Shanghai Port
Liaoning Tieren FC
2.8–1.0
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420519276 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shandong Taishan are favourites. They win 59.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.4% for the draw and 21.6% for Zhejiang. Including the draw, Shandong Taishan avoid defeat 78.4% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 6.8% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (6.5%) and 2-2 (6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 78.9% of simulations. Shandong Taishan keep a clean sheet 17.2% of the time and Zhejiang 5.8%.
The simulations average 4.70 goals: 2.91 for Shandong Taishan and 1.79 for Zhejiang. Over 1.5 goals lands 95.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 84.3% and over 3.5 goals 68.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.