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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Athletic Club vs Ceará 100,000 times. Athletic Club won 40,910 of them (40.9%), the draw came up 33.7% of the time and Ceará won 25.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 15.7%, while the likeliest Athletic Club win is 1-0 (10.4%). Both teams score in 48% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Athletic Club winning 40.9% and gave this exact score 8.3%.
| Athletic Club win | 40.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 33.7% |
| Ceará win | 25.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (15.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 19.9% |
| Athletic Club score first | 53.1% |
| Ceará score first | 33.9% |
| Athletic Club clean sheet | 37.7% |
| Ceará clean sheet | 27.6% |
Botafogo SP
Londrina
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Operário PR
Sport Recife
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Avaí
São Bernardo
1.3–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Novorizontino
Fortaleza
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Cuiabá
Juventude
1.0–1.2
xG
38%
Over 2.5
Vila Nova
Criciúma
1.4–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Náutico
CRB
1.2–1.5
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Atlético GO
1.0–1.4
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534134 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Athletic Club are favourites. They win 40.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.7% for the draw and 25.4% for Ceará. Including the draw, Athletic Club avoid defeat 74.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 15.7% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (10.4%). The likeliest Athletic Club win is 1-0 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48% of simulations. Athletic Club keep a clean sheet 37.7% of the time and Ceará 27.6%.
The simulations average 2.29 goals: 1.30 for Athletic Club and 0.98 for Ceará. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40% and over 3.5 goals 19.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.