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MLS · 100,000 simulations

Austin vs Portland Timbers prediction

We simulated Austin vs Portland Timbers 100,000 times. Portland Timbers won 49,897 of them (49.9%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Austin won 27.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Portland Timbers win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations.

Austin badge
Austin Q2 Stadium
Sunday 8 November
Portland Timbers badge
Portland Timbers Away
27.2% 27,225 wins
22.9% Draw
49.9% 49,897 wins
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.96
Likeliest score
1-1 10% Top Portland win: 1-2 9.1%
Both score
64.7%
Over 2.5
65%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Q2 Stadium
Austin vs Portland Timbers lineups, team news & head to head

Austin vs Portland Timbers in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Sunday 8 November, 00:00

Austin vs Portland Timbers simulation probabilities
Austin win27.2%
Draw22.9%
Portland Timbers win49.9%
Most likely score1-1 (10%)
Expected goals1.40 – 1.96
Both teams to score64.7%
Over 1.5 goals85.1%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43.3%
Austin score first45.3%
Portland Timbers score first50.8%
Austin clean sheet14.5%
Portland Timbers clean sheet24.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420510226
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Austin vs Portland Timbers prediction FAQs

Who will win Austin vs Portland Timbers?

Portland Timbers are favourites. They win 49.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 27.2% for Austin. Including the draw, Portland Timbers avoid defeat 72.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Austin vs Portland Timbers?

1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Austin vs Portland Timbers?

Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations. Austin keep a clean sheet 14.5% of the time and Portland Timbers 24.9%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs Portland Timbers?

The simulations average 3.37 goals: 1.40 for Austin and 1.96 for Portland Timbers. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65% and over 3.5 goals 43.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.