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We simulated Austin vs Portland Timbers 100,000 times. Portland Timbers won 49,897 of them (49.9%), the draw came up 22.9% of the time and Austin won 27.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10%, while the likeliest Portland Timbers win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations.
| Austin win | 27.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.9% |
| Portland Timbers win | 49.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10%) |
| Expected goals | 1.40 – 1.96 |
| Both teams to score | 64.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.3% |
| Austin score first | 45.3% |
| Portland Timbers score first | 50.8% |
| Austin clean sheet | 14.5% |
| Portland Timbers clean sheet | 24.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510226 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Portland Timbers are favourites. They win 49.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.9% for the draw and 27.2% for Austin. Including the draw, Portland Timbers avoid defeat 72.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.7% of simulations. Austin keep a clean sheet 14.5% of the time and Portland Timbers 24.9%.
The simulations average 3.37 goals: 1.40 for Austin and 1.96 for Portland Timbers. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65% and over 3.5 goals 43.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.