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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated DC United vs New York City 100,000 times. New York City won 38,315 of them (38.3%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and DC United won 34.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest New York City win is 1-2 (8.5%). Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations.
| DC United win | 34.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| New York City win | 38.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.39 – 1.47 |
| Both teams to score | 58.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.1% |
| DC United score first | 43.4% |
| New York City score first | 49.4% |
| DC United clean sheet | 23.4% |
| New York City clean sheet | 25.4% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–1.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.7–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.5
xG
72%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
66%
Over 2.5
San Diego
Sporting KC
2.9–1.3
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510225 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New York City are favourites. They win 38.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 34.6% for DC United. Including the draw, New York City avoid defeat 65.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest New York City win is 1-2 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations. DC United keep a clean sheet 23.4% of the time and New York City 25.4%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.39 for DC United and 1.47 for New York City. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.