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MLS · 100,000 simulations

San Diego vs Sporting KC prediction

We simulated San Diego vs Sporting KC 100,000 times. San Diego won 70,934 of them (70.9%), the draw came up 15.7% of the time and Sporting KC won 13.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8%), and both teams score in 67.5% of simulations.

San Diego badge
San Diego Snapdragon Stadium
Sunday 8 November
Sporting KC badge
Sporting KC Away
70.9% 70,934 wins
15.7% Draw
13.4% 13,389 wins
Expected goals
2.94 – 1.26
Likeliest score
2-1 8%
Both score
67.5%
Over 2.5
78.4%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Snapdragon Stadium, United States
San Diego vs Sporting KC lineups, team news & head to head

San Diego vs Sporting KC in numbers 100,000 simulations · MLS · Sunday 8 November, 00:00

San Diego vs Sporting KC simulation probabilities
San Diego win70.9%
Draw15.7%
Sporting KC win13.4%
Most likely score2-1 (8%)
Expected goals2.94 – 1.26
Both teams to score67.5%
Over 1.5 goals92.2%
Over 2.5 goals78.4%
Over 3.5 goals60%
San Diego score first68.8%
Sporting KC score first29.2%
San Diego clean sheet28.9%
Sporting KC clean sheet5.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420509976
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

San Diego vs Sporting KC prediction FAQs

Who will win San Diego vs Sporting KC?

San Diego are favourites. They win 70.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.7% for the draw and 13.4% for Sporting KC. Including the draw, San Diego avoid defeat 86.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in San Diego vs Sporting KC?

2-1, which came up in 8% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in San Diego vs Sporting KC?

Both teams score in 67.5% of simulations. San Diego keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Sporting KC 5.6%.

How many goals will there be in San Diego vs Sporting KC?

The simulations average 4.20 goals: 2.94 for San Diego and 1.26 for Sporting KC. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 78.4% and over 3.5 goals 60%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.