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We simulated San Diego vs Sporting KC 100,000 times. San Diego won 70,934 of them (70.9%), the draw came up 15.7% of the time and Sporting KC won 13.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8%), and both teams score in 67.5% of simulations.
| San Diego win | 70.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15.7% |
| Sporting KC win | 13.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.94 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 67.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% |
| San Diego score first | 68.8% |
| Sporting KC score first | 29.2% |
| San Diego clean sheet | 28.9% |
| Sporting KC clean sheet | 5.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509976 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
San Diego are favourites. They win 70.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 15.7% for the draw and 13.4% for Sporting KC. Including the draw, San Diego avoid defeat 86.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.5% of simulations. San Diego keep a clean sheet 28.9% of the time and Sporting KC 5.6%.
The simulations average 4.20 goals: 2.94 for San Diego and 1.26 for Sporting KC. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 78.4% and over 3.5 goals 60%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.