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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cincinnati vs Nashville SC 100,000 times. Cincinnati won 40,532 of them (40.5%), the draw came up 25.2% of the time and Nashville SC won 34.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.3%, while the likeliest Cincinnati win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 64% of simulations.
| Cincinnati win | 40.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% |
| Nashville SC win | 34.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.68 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.8% |
| Cincinnati score first | 48.4% |
| Nashville SC score first | 46.5% |
| Cincinnati clean sheet | 22.1% |
| Nashville SC clean sheet | 19.1% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–1.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.7–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.5
xG
72%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
66%
Over 2.5
San Diego
Sporting KC
2.9–1.3
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510227 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cincinnati are favourites. They win 40.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.2% for the draw and 34.2% for Nashville SC. Including the draw, Cincinnati avoid defeat 65.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Cincinnati win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64% of simulations. Cincinnati keep a clean sheet 22.1% of the time and Nashville SC 19.1%.
The simulations average 3.20 goals: 1.68 for Cincinnati and 1.53 for Nashville SC. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.8% and over 3.5 goals 39.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.