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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Philadelphia Union vs Toronto 100,000 times. Philadelphia Union won 68,554 of them (68.6%), the draw came up 17.5% of the time and Toronto won 13.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.5%), and both teams score in 57.1% of simulations.
| Philadelphia Union win | 68.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.5% |
| Toronto win | 13.9% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.43 – 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 57.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.7% |
| Philadelphia Union score first | 69.6% |
| Toronto score first | 26.9% |
| Philadelphia Union clean sheet | 37.2% |
| Toronto clean sheet | 9.2% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–1.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
2.0–1.4
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.7–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.5
xG
72%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
San Diego
Sporting KC
2.9–1.3
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510228 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Philadelphia Union are favourites. They win 68.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 17.5% for the draw and 13.9% for Toronto. Including the draw, Philadelphia Union avoid defeat 86.1% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (7.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.1% of simulations. Philadelphia Union keep a clean sheet 37.2% of the time and Toronto 9.2%.
The simulations average 3.43 goals: 2.43 for Philadelphia Union and 1.00 for Toronto. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.2% and over 3.5 goals 44.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.