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We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew 100,000 times. Chicago Fire won 50,531 of them (50.5%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and Columbus Crew won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.1%, while the likeliest Chicago Fire win is 2-1 (9.2%). Both teams score in 65.1% of simulations.
| Chicago Fire win | 50.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Columbus Crew win | 26.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.99 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 65.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.8% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 57.8% |
| Columbus Crew score first | 38% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 25.1% |
| Columbus Crew clean sheet | 14.1% |
CF Montréal
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.3–1.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
Charlotte
2.7–1.3
xG
76%
Over 2.5
New York RB
Atlanta United
2.0–1.4
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Orlando City
New England
2.2–1.5
xG
72%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York City
1.4–1.5
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
Nashville SC
1.7–1.5
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Toronto
2.4–1.0
xG
66%
Over 2.5
San Diego
Sporting KC
2.9–1.3
xG
78%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509958 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Chicago Fire are favourites. They win 50.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 26.3% for Columbus Crew. Including the draw, Chicago Fire avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 2-1 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.1% of simulations. Chicago Fire keep a clean sheet 25.1% of the time and Columbus Crew 14.1%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 1.99 for Chicago Fire and 1.40 for Columbus Crew. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.5% and over 3.5 goals 43.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.